Caersws 1-2 Colwyn Bay — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
15%
5.91
Draw
18%
6.26
Away
67%
1.28
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
35%
Over 2.5
65%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.73
No
45%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
30%
6+ Goals
18%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
19%
X/X
8%
2/1
4%
2/2
39%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
15%
Home Win
14%
+1.4pp
18%
Draw
13%
+5.3pp
67%
Away Win
73%
-6.8pp
55%
BTTS Yes
54%
+1.2pp
45%
BTTS No
46%
-1.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Caersws EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Colwyn Bay EU Bookmakers 78%
+53% / +53% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +9%
2.41/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 3.70/0.78
+95% / +88% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +54% / +39%
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 19
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
274 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 496 · 86%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards 0.0
POST-MATCH Caersws vs Colwyn Bay
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Colwyn Bay squeezed past Caersws 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we said in the preview, our model had Colwyn Bay as the likeliest winner at 67%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (65%), both teams to score (55%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Caersws vs Colwyn Bay?

Caersws 1-2 Colwyn Bay in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Caersws vs Colwyn Bay?

Before kick-off our model rated an Colwyn Bay win the most likely single outcome at about 67%, with the full match-result split Caersws 15%, draw 18%, Colwyn Bay 67%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Colwyn Bay), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Colwyn Bay) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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