Llantwit Major 4-2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Wales - FAW Championship, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 3-0 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
50%
1.53
Draw
24%
4.08
Away
26%
4.85
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.07
Over 2.5
53%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.81
No
52%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
2-3 Goals
38%
4-5 Goals
28%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
36%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
9%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
5%
2/2
9%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
50%
Home Win
61%
-11.4pp
24%
Draw
21%
+2.5pp
26%
Away Win
18%
+9.0pp
47%
Under 2.5
44%
+2.8pp
53%
Over 2.5
56%
-2.8pp
48%
BTTS Yes
51%
-2.9pp
52%
BTTS No
49%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Llantwit Major EU Bookmakers 66%
Head to Head
AWAY Penrhiwceiber Rangers EU Bookmakers 21%
-12% / -15% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +12% / +12%
1.56/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.02/1.78
-35% / +0% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -20% / +28%
55% Ball Possession 45%
14 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
338 · 82% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Llantwit Major vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Llantwit Major beat Penrhiwceiber Rangers 4-2. Half-time: 2-1. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Llantwit Major as the likeliest winner at 50%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

What was the final score of Llantwit Major vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Llantwit Major 4-2 Penrhiwceiber Rangers in the Wales - FAW Championship on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Llantwit Major vs Penrhiwceiber Rangers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Llantwit Major win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split Llantwit Major 50%, draw 24%, Penrhiwceiber Rangers 26%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Llantwit Major), Over 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Llantwit Major) ✓ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
GALFAW More Wales - FAW Championship
15 Feb 2025
17:00 Caersws vs Colwyn Bay Analysis →
17:00 Llay Miners Welfare vs Gresford Athletic Analysis →
17:00 Cwmbran Celtic vs Taffs Well Analysis →
17:00 Penrhyncoch vs Buckley Town Analysis →