Al Karma 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.17
Draw
30%
2.88
Away
43%
2.24
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
57%
Over 2.5
43%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2-3 Goals
36%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
7%
1/X
3%
X/1
8%
X/2
18%
X/X
24%
2/1
4%
2/2
18%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
27%
Home Win
28%
-1.1pp
30%
Draw
31%
-1.5pp
43%
Away Win
41%
+2.7pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.1pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Karma EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Quwa Al Jawiya EU Bookmakers 45%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +20% / +20%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +150% / +12%
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
287 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 351 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Al Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Karma nicked a narrow win over Al Quwa Al Jawiya 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Al Quwa Al Jawiya at 43%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (57%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

What was the final score of Al Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Al Karma 2-1 Al Quwa Al Jawiya in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Karma vs Al Quwa Al Jawiya?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Quwa Al Jawiya win the most likely single outcome at about 43%, with the full match-result split Al Karma 27%, draw 30%, Al Quwa Al Jawiya 43%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Al Quwa Al Jawiya) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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