Newroz 1-1 Al Zawraa — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iraq - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
3.17
Draw
26%
3.04
Away
42%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.6
Over 2.5
48%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.95
No
53%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
23%
6+ Goals
8%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
4%
1/X
6%
X/1
7%
X/2
14%
X/X
13%
2/1
4%
2/2
25%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
28%
+3.8pp
26%
Draw
29%
-3.8pp
42%
Away Win
42%
-0.0pp
52%
Under 2.5
59%
-6.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
41%
+6.6pp
47%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.3pp
53%
BTTS No
53%
+0.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Newroz EU Bookmakers 32%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Zawraa EU Bookmakers 46%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -59% / -59%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -54%
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
267 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Newroz vs Al Zawraa
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Newroz and Al Zawraa couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match lean was Al Zawraa at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

What was the final score of Newroz vs Al Zawraa?

Newroz 1-1 Al Zawraa in the Iraq - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Newroz vs Al Zawraa?

Before kick-off our model rated an Al Zawraa win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Newroz 32%, draw 26%, Al Zawraa 42%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Al Zawraa), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Zawraa) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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