Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
28%
4.04
Draw
26%
3.64
Away
46%
1.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.82
Over 2.5
48%
1.9
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.88
No
59%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
27%
2.98
2-3 Goals
45%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
3.52
6+ Goals
9%
14.55
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.98 — our 27% vs market 26.4%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
5%
X/1
10%
X/2
9%
X/X
16%
2/1
7%
2/2
31%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
22%
+6.3pp
26%
Draw
24%
+1.6pp
47%
Away Win
54%
-7.8pp
52%
Under 2.5
51%
+1.2pp
48%
Over 2.5
49%
-1.2pp
41%
BTTS Yes
49%
-8.3pp
59%
BTTS No
51%
+8.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg EU Bookmakers 25%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola EU Bookmakers 58%
+11% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-48% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
47% Ball Possession 53%
9 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
287 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.5 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
2W-1D-0L
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 0.33
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
03.08.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 0-2 HT 0-1 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL1
27.04.2024 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola 1-1 HT 0-0 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg POL2
18.10.2023 Kotwica Kolobrzeg Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-0 HT 0-0 Stal Stalowa Wola Stal Stalowa Wola POL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Kotwica Kolobrzeg
1-1
AWAY Stal Stalowa Wola
41% Ball Possession 59%
12 Total Shots 9
7 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 9
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stal Stalowa Wola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Kotwica Kolobrzeg and Stal Stalowa Wola couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Stal Stalowa Wola at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals read — no to both teams scoring (59%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had 41% of the ball to Stal Stalowa Wola's 59%, shots finished 12-9.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Kotwica Kolobrzeg had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Kotwica Kolobrzeg and 0.33 for Stal Stalowa Wola.

What was the final score of Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Kotwica Kolobrzeg 1-1 Stal Stalowa Wola in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Kotwica Kolobrzeg vs Stal Stalowa Wola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Stal Stalowa Wola win the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Kotwica Kolobrzeg 28%, draw 26%, Stal Stalowa Wola 47%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Stal Stalowa Wola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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