Miedz Legnica 3-3 Stal Rzeszow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.76
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
28%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.0
Over 2.5
53%
1.74
Both Teams to Score
Yes
55%
1.7
No
45%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
3.51
2-3 Goals
46%
1.76
4-5 Goals
23%
3.1
6+ Goals
11%
10.65
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
26%
1/2
5%
1/X
4%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
52%
-3.4pp
23%
Draw
24%
-1.5pp
28%
Away Win
23%
+4.9pp
46%
Under 2.5
46%
+0.2pp
54%
Over 2.5
54%
-0.2pp
55%
BTTS Yes
55%
-0.1pp
45%
BTTS No
45%
+0.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 27%
-1% / -4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +19%
1.97/0.98 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.33/1.36
+15% / +1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +23% / +8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
13 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
355 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 347 · 81%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.4 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Miedz Legnica
2W-0D-1L
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 7
1 Yellow Cards 1
04.08.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-0 HT 0-0 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
01.03.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-3 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
20.08.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 2-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Miedz Legnica
3-3
AWAY Stal Rzeszow
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 16
6 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Miedz Legnica and Stal Rzeszow shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Miedz Legnica at 49%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (55%) came in.

On the day, Miedz Legnica had 54% of the ball to Stal Rzeszow's 46%, shots finished 12-16.

For context: across their last 3 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Miedz Legnica and 1.00 for Stal Rzeszow.

What was the final score of Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszow?

Miedz Legnica 3-3 Stal Rzeszow in the Poland - 1st Division on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Miedz Legnica vs Stal Rzeszow?

Before kick-off our model rated a Miedz Legnica win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Miedz Legnica 49%, draw 23%, Stal Rzeszow 28%. The final score 3-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Miedz Legnica) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Miedz Legnica) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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