Stal Rzeszow 1-0 Miedz Legnica — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒13:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.8
Draw
29%
3.54
Away
29%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.18
Over 2.5
48%
1.62
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.55
No
50%
2.29
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
26%
4.34
2-3 Goals
41%
1.88
4-5 Goals
22%
2.97
6+ Goals
11%
8.92
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 4.34 — our 26% vs market 18.2%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
10%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
32%
+10.1pp
29%
Draw
25%
+4.1pp
29%
Away Win
43%
-14.2pp
52%
Under 2.5
42%
+9.7pp
48%
Over 2.5
58%
-9.7pp
50%
BTTS Yes
60%
-10.4pp
50%
BTTS No
40%
+10.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Miedz Legnica EU Bookmakers 48%
+9% / +9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +16%
1.87/1.64 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.76
+64% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -5% / +42%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 5
7 Corners 6
350 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 368 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.0
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Miedz Legnica
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.50
53% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
8 Corners 2
2 Yellow Cards 0
01.03.2024 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 1-3 HT 0-1 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica POL1
20.08.2023 Miedz Legnica Miedz Legnica 2-1 HT 2-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
1-0
AWAY Miedz Legnica
55% Ball Possession 45%
7 Total Shots 9
2 Shots on Target 2
6 Corners 8
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow squeezed past Miedz Legnica 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Stal Rzeszow as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 55% of the ball to Miedz Legnica's 45%, shots finished 7-9.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Miedz Legnica led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 2.50 for Miedz Legnica.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica?

Stal Rzeszow 1-0 Miedz Legnica in the Poland - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Miedz Legnica?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 42%, draw 29%, Miedz Legnica 29%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Stal Rzeszow), Under 2.5 — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
POL1 More Poland - 1st Division
4 Aug 2024
15:30 Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow Analysis →
18:00 Nieciecza vs Odra Opole Analysis →