Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 4 Aug 2024

📅04/08/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
36%
2.94
Draw
26%
3.18
Away
38%
2.16
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.8
Over 2.5
49%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
27%
3.12
2-3 Goals
40%
1.78
4-5 Goals
23%
3.76
6+ Goals
10%
16.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
7%
1/X
8%
X/1
14%
X/2
12%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Away Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
36%
Home Win
30%
+6.0pp
26%
Draw
28%
-2.0pp
38%
Away Win
42%
-4.0pp
51%
Under 2.5
52%
-0.2pp
49%
Over 2.5
48%
+0.2pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-3.4pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+3.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 34%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 46%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -18%
1.01/0.93 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.45/1.24
-13% / +41% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +7% / -16%
45% Ball Possession 55%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
299 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 340 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.3 Yellow Cards 2.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0W-0D-2L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.50
32% Ball Possession 68%
8 Total Shots 18
4 Shots on Target 12
0 Corners 10
2 Yellow Cards 2
19.04.2024 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 HT 2-0 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow POL1
07.10.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 6-2 HT 3-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-1
AWAY Wisla Krakow
42% Ball Possession 58%
17 Total Shots 17
9 Shots on Target 7
6 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 5
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Znicz Pruszkow edged past Wisla Krakow 2-1. It was 0-1 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 36% / 26% / 38% — and on the day Znicz Pruszkow made the difference.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 42% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 58%, shots finished 17-17.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Wisla Krakow led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Znicz Pruszkow and 4.50 for Wisla Krakow.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-1 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 04/08/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 36%, draw 26%, Wisla Krakow 38%. The final score 2-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5
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