Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 Wisla Krakow — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒21:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.54
Away
46%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
1.97
Over 2.5
48%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
47%
1.7
No
53%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
31%
3.59
2-3 Goals
37%
1.81
4-5 Goals
21%
3.34
6+ Goals
11%
12.2
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.59 — our 31% vs market 22.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
6%
X/1
13%
X/2
16%
X/X
9%
2/1
6%
2/2
19%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
26%
+4.3pp
23%
Draw
25%
-1.5pp
46%
Away Win
49%
-2.7pp
52%
Under 2.5
47%
+5.5pp
48%
Over 2.5
53%
-5.5pp
47%
BTTS Yes
55%
-8.2pp
53%
BTTS No
45%
+8.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Znicz Pruszkow EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Wisla Krakow EU Bookmakers 53%
+31% / +31% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -24% / -24%
1.00/0.52 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.20/1.32
-8% / +150% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -26% / -37%
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 16
5 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
226 · 68% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 388 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Wisla Krakow
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 6.00
41% Ball Possession 59%
10 Total Shots 24
5 Shots on Target 17
0 Corners 9
2 Yellow Cards 3
07.10.2023 Wisla Krakow Wisla Krakow 6-2 HT 3-1 Znicz Pruszkow Znicz Pruszkow POL1
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Znicz Pruszkow
2-3
AWAY Wisla Krakow
24% Ball Possession 76%
6 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 11
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Wisla Krakow squeezed past Znicz Pruszkow 3-2 away from home. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

As we said in the preview, our model had Wisla Krakow as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 3-2 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 48% and both teams to score was close to even at 47%.

On the day, Znicz Pruszkow had 24% of the ball to Wisla Krakow's 76%, shots finished 6-12.

What was the final score of Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow?

Znicz Pruszkow 2-3 Wisla Krakow in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Znicz Pruszkow vs Wisla Krakow?

Before kick-off our model rated an Wisla Krakow win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Znicz Pruszkow 31%, draw 23%, Wisla Krakow 46%. The final score 2-3 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Wisla Krakow) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Wisla Krakow) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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