Stal Rzeszow 2-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Poland - 1st Division, 19 Apr 2024

📅19/04/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
41%
2.27
Draw
27%
3.28
Away
32%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.61
No
50%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.69
2-3 Goals
43%
1.81
4-5 Goals
22%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.65
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.69 — our 26% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
15%
X/2
13%
X/X
11%
2/1
8%
2/2
12%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: BTTS Yes ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
40%
Home Win
40%
+0.3pp
27%
Draw
27%
+0.3pp
32%
Away Win
33%
-0.6pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.3pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.3pp
50%
BTTS Yes
58%
-7.7pp
50%
BTTS No
42%
+7.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Stal Rzeszow EU Bookmakers 44%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko EU Bookmakers 37%
+6% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -11% / -28%
2.10/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.95/1.53
+50% / -2% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -23% / -20%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
273 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 303 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.0 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Stal Rzeszow
2W-1D-1L
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.75
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 12
6 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
07.10.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 0-1 HT 0-0 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
02.04.2023 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko 2-2 HT 0-1 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow POL1
27.08.2022 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 5-0 HT 3-0 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POL1
15.08.2020 Stal Rzeszow Stal Rzeszow 0-1 HT 0-1 Podbeskidzie Bielsko Podbeskidzie Bielsko POLK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Stal Rzeszow
2-2
AWAY Podbeskidzie Bielsko
50% Ball Possession 50%
16 Total Shots 17
8 Shots on Target 6
8 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Stal Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Stal Rzeszow and Podbeskidzie Bielsko couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. It was 2-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

We called this one close before kick-off — 40% / 27% / 32% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Stal Rzeszow had 50% of the ball to Podbeskidzie Bielsko's 50%, shots finished 16-17.

Coming into the game, across their last 4 meetings in our records, Stal Rzeszow had the better of it with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Stal Rzeszow and 0.75 for Podbeskidzie Bielsko.

What was the final score of Stal Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Stal Rzeszow 2-2 Podbeskidzie Bielsko in the Poland - 1st Division on 19/04/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Stal Rzeszow vs Podbeskidzie Bielsko?

Before kick-off our model rated a Stal Rzeszow win the most likely single outcome at about 40%, with the full match-result split Stal Rzeszow 40%, draw 27%, Podbeskidzie Bielsko 32%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Stal Rzeszow) ✗ Under 2.5
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