Podbrezova 2-1 Trencin — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
48%
1.75
Draw
25%
3.54
Away
27%
4.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
1.9
Over 2.5
56%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.81
No
44%
1.9
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
3.18
2-3 Goals
38%
1.74
4-5 Goals EV+ ✗
26%
3.34
6+ Goals
13%
12.8
Value flag · 4-5 Goals at 3.34 — our 26% vs market 23.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
15%
X/2
9%
X/X
10%
2/1
10%
2/2
13%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
48%
Home Win
54%
-5.3pp
25%
Draw
25%
-0.3pp
27%
Away Win
21%
+5.6pp
44%
Under 2.5
49%
-4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
51%
+4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
51%
+4.4pp
44%
BTTS No
49%
-4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Trencin EU Bookmakers 24%
+0% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +0%
1.64/0.88 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.92/1.52
+4% / +27% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / -14%
54% Ball Possession 46%
18 Total Shots 10
6 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 4
348 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 263 · 73%
32.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 19.4
17.9 Crosses 16.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 2.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Podbrezova
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Trencin
1.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.45 xG 1.36
46% Ball Possession 55%
14 Total Shots 15
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
281 Passes 314
75% Pass Accuracy 76%
29 Box Touches 25
11 Crosses 21
2 Yellow Cards 3
28.09.2024 Trencin Trencin 1-1 HT 0-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
02.12.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-2 HT 0-2 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
26.08.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-2 HT 1-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.03.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-1 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
17.09.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
17.10.2015 Trencin Trencin 2-1 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Podbrezova
2-1
AWAY Trencin
1.20 xG 0.57
54% Ball Possession 46%
14 Total Shots 6
5 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 0
347 Passes 265
82% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 16
13 Crosses 12
2 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH Podbrezova vs Trencin
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Podbrezova squeezed past Trencin 2-1. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Podbrezova as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) came in.

On the day, Podbrezova had 54% of the ball to Trencin's 46%, shots finished 14-6, expected goals 1.20 to 0.57.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbrezova had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.50 goals for Podbrezova and 1.17 for Trencin.

What was the final score of Podbrezova vs Trencin?

Podbrezova 2-1 Trencin in the Slovakia Super League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Podbrezova vs Trencin?

Before kick-off our model rated a Podbrezova win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Podbrezova 48%, draw 25%, Trencin 27%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Podbrezova), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Podbrezova) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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