Trencin 1-1 Podbrezova — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 28 Sep 2024

Trencin
1-1 HT 0-1
Podbrezova
📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Slovakia Super League – 2024/2025

Trencin vs Podbrezova Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.12
Draw
26%
3.45
Away
30%
2.94
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
1.97
Over 2.5
49%
1.75
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.63
No
50%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
25%
3.7
2-3 Goals
43%
1.82
4-5 Goals
23%
3.28
6+ Goals
9%
11.6
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.7 — our 25% vs market 21.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
6%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
9%
2/2
13%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
44%
+0.9pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.2pp
30%
Away Win
31%
-1.1pp
51%
Under 2.5
47%
+4.0pp
49%
Over 2.5
53%
-4.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
57%
-7.2pp
50%
BTTS No
43%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Trencin v Podbrezova — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Trencin EU Bookmakers 47%
Head to Head
AWAY Podbrezova EU Bookmakers 34%
+5% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -20%
1.66/0.99 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.25/1.55
+20% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -12% / -26%
50% Ball Possession 50%
14 Total Shots 11
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
290 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 76%
24.8 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 24.0
20.6 Crosses 14.6
2.7 Yellow Cards 2.6

Trencin vs Podbrezova Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Trencin
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Podbrezova
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.67
1.56 xG 1.44
54% Ball Possession 46%
16 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
305 Passes 285
75% Pass Accuracy 74%
27 Box Touches 27
23 Crosses 10
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
02.12.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-2 HT 0-2 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
26.08.2023 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-2 HT 1-1 Trencin Trencin SLVK
04.03.2023 Trencin Trencin 1-1 HT 1-0 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
17.09.2022 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-0 HT 2-0 Trencin Trencin SLVK
17.10.2015 Trencin Trencin 2-1 HT 1-1 Podbrezova Podbrezova SLVK
18.10.2014 Podbrezova Podbrezova 2-2 HT 1-2 Trencin Trencin SLVK

Trencin 1-1 Podbrezova — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Trencin
1-1
AWAY Podbrezova
0.56 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
8 Total Shots 21
2 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 9
348 Passes 264
82% Pass Accuracy 78%
20 Box Touches 37
12 Crosses 17
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Trencin vs Podbrezova
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Trencin and Podbrezova couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match lean was Trencin at 44%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, Trencin had 55% of the ball to Podbrezova's 45%, shots finished 8-21, expected goals 0.56 to 1.47.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Podbrezova led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Trencin and 1.67 for Podbrezova.

What was the final score of Trencin vs Podbrezova?

Trencin 1-1 Podbrezova in the Slovakia Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Trencin vs Podbrezova?

Before kick-off our model rated a Trencin win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Trencin 44%, draw 26%, Podbrezova 30%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Trencin) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Trencin) ✓ Under 2.5
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