Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 FK Kosice — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Slovakia Super League, 28 Sep 2024

📅28/09/2024 · 🕒19:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.19
Draw
25%
3.35
Away
33%
2.9
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.86
Over 2.5
50%
1.86
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.7
No
52%
2.03
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
26%
3.29
2-3 Goals
43%
1.78
4-5 Goals
22%
3.58
6+ Goals
9%
14.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.29 — our 26% vs market 24.8%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
24%
1/2
7%
1/X
5%
X/1
12%
X/2
11%
X/X
15%
2/1
6%
2/2
15%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
42%
+0.0pp
25%
Draw
27%
-1.5pp
33%
Away Win
31%
+1.5pp
50%
Under 2.5
50%
-0.3pp
50%
Over 2.5
50%
+0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
55%
-7.1pp
52%
BTTS No
45%
+7.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY FK Kosice EU Bookmakers 34%
+7% / +5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -4%
1.42/0.94 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.66/1.11
+33% / -19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -46% / +94%
49% Ball Possession 51%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
296 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 312 · 75%
23.6 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 16.9
21.4 Crosses 17.1
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
5W-1D-0L
AWAY FK Kosice
2.17 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
1.71 xG 1.47
55% Ball Possession 45%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
354 Passes 259
77% Pass Accuracy 72%
23 Box Touches 23
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
03.05.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-1 HT 1-1 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK
06.04.2024 FK Kosice FK Kosice 0-1 HT 0-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
02.03.2024 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 1-1 HT 1-0 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK
21.10.2023 FK Kosice FK Kosice 2-4 HT 2-1 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK
05.03.2022 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-1 HT 2-0 FK Kosice FK Kosice SLVK2
13.08.2021 FK Kosice FK Kosice 1-2 HT 1-0 Dukla Banska Bystrica Dukla Banska Bystrica SLVK2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Dukla Banska Bystrica
2-3
AWAY FK Kosice
3.96 xG 1.04
64% Ball Possession 36%
32 Total Shots 8
10 Shots on Target 5
8 Corners 1
394 Passes 202
85% Pass Accuracy 73%
38 Box Touches 8
45 Crosses 7
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Kosice
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FK Kosice edged past Dukla Banska Bystrica 3-2 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

Our pre-match lean was Dukla Banska Bystrica at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Dukla Banska Bystrica had 64% of the ball to FK Kosice's 36%, shots finished 32-8, expected goals 3.96 to 1.04 — on chances, Dukla Banska Bystrica could feel hard done by.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Dukla Banska Bystrica had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for Dukla Banska Bystrica and 1.00 for FK Kosice.

What was the final score of Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Kosice?

Dukla Banska Bystrica 2-3 FK Kosice in the Slovakia Super League on 28/09/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Dukla Banska Bystrica vs FK Kosice?

Before kick-off our model rated a Dukla Banska Bystrica win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Dukla Banska Bystrica 42%, draw 25%, FK Kosice 33%. The final score 2-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Dukla Banska Bystrica) ✗ BTTS No
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