Al Shabab Riyadh 0-1 Al Nasar — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Oman - Sultan Cup, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒19:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
45%
2.38
Draw
29%
3.18
Away
26%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
1.62
Over 2.5
42%
2.18
Both Teams to Score
Yes
41%
1.95
No
59%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2-3 Goals
34%
4-5 Goals
14%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
23%
1/2
5%
1/X
6%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
15%
2/1
8%
2/2
11%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
45%
Home Win
38%
+6.3pp
29%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
34%
-7.5pp
58%
Under 2.5
58%
-0.1pp
42%
Over 2.5
42%
+0.1pp
41%
BTTS Yes
47%
-5.8pp
59%
BTTS No
53%
+5.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh EU Bookmakers 42%
Head to Head
AWAY Al Nasar EU Bookmakers 37%
+43% / +43% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +50% / +50%
1.00/0.00 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.00/0.00
-22% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% /
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 3
316 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 232 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Al Nasar
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
06.02.2025 Al Nasar Al Nasar 0-1 Al Shabab Riyadh Al Shabab Riyadh UMMSK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Al Shabab Riyadh
0-1
AWAY Al Nasar
49% Ball Possession 51%
3 Total Shots 3
2 Shots on Target 1
5 Corners 2
3 Yellow Cards 4
POST-MATCH Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nasar
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Al Nasar squeezed past Al Shabab Riyadh 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was Al Shabab Riyadh at 45%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (58%), no to both teams scoring (59%), and both reads landed as well.

On the day, Al Shabab Riyadh had 49% of the ball to Al Nasar's 51%, shots finished 3-3.

What was the final score of Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nasar?

Al Shabab Riyadh 0-1 Al Nasar in the Oman - Sultan Cup on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Al Shabab Riyadh vs Al Nasar?

Before kick-off our model rated a Al Shabab Riyadh win the most likely single outcome at about 45%, with the full match-result split Al Shabab Riyadh 45%, draw 29%, Al Nasar 26%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Al Shabab Riyadh) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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