Cerro 0-1 Plaza Colonia — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒01:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.19
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
33%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
58%
Over 2.5
42%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
2.33
No
52%
1.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
32%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
6%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
10%
X/1
13%
X/2
10%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
16%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
42%
-7.1pp
32%
Draw
31%
+1.0pp
33%
Away Win
27%
+6.1pp
48%
BTTS Yes
39%
+9.6pp
52%
BTTS No
61%
-9.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Cerro EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Plaza Colonia EU Bookmakers 31%
-3% / -9% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +11%
1.06/0.83 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.04/1.31
-13% / +25% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +4% / -6%
51% Ball Possession 49%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
259 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 287 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 3.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Cerro
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Plaza Colonia
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
47% Ball Possession 53%
8 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
04.12.2023 Cerro Cerro 1-1 HT 1-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
25.07.2023 Cerro Cerro 0-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
08.05.2023 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-1 HT 1-1 Cerro Cerro URU
04.02.2021 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 2-1 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
08.08.2020 Cerro Cerro 1-0 HT 0-0 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia URU
06.10.2019 Plaza Colonia Plaza Colonia 1-0 HT 0-0 Cerro Cerro URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Cerro
0-1
AWAY Plaza Colonia
52% Ball Possession 48%
10 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 4
3 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Cerro vs Plaza Colonia
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Plaza Colonia squeezed past Cerro 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 32% / 33% — and on the day Plaza Colonia made the difference. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (58%) came in.

On the day, Cerro had 52% of the ball to Plaza Colonia's 48%, shots finished 10-10.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Plaza Colonia led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for Cerro and 0.83 for Plaza Colonia.

What was the final score of Cerro vs Plaza Colonia?

Cerro 0-1 Plaza Colonia in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Cerro vs Plaza Colonia?

Before kick-off our model rated a Cerro win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Cerro 35%, draw 32%, Plaza Colonia 33%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Cerro) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Cerro) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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