Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Feb 2025

📅15/02/2025 · 🕒03:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.8
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
35%
2.35
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.67
Over 2.5
41%
2.1
Both Teams to Score
Yes
45%
1.88
No
55%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
44%
4-5 Goals
18%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
7%
1/X
7%
X/1
14%
X/2
10%
X/X
13%
2/1
8%
2/2
19%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
32%
+2.2pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.6pp
35%
Away Win
39%
-3.9pp
59%
Under 2.5
56%
+2.5pp
41%
Over 2.5
44%
-2.5pp
45%
BTTS Yes
49%
-3.8pp
55%
BTTS No
51%
+3.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 36%
Head to Head
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 43%
+0% / -1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / +1%
1.11/1.12 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.44/1.13
-1% / +10% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +12% / -6%
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
246 · 70% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 283 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
14.0 Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
0W-3D-3L
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 2.00
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
4 Yellow Cards 3
15.10.2024 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-1 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
17.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
27.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URUK
24.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Montevideo Wanderers
1-1
AWAY Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
39% Ball Possession 61%
11 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 3
5 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Montevideo Wanderers and Liverpool FC (Montevideo) shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

We called this one close before kick-off — 35% / 30% / 35% — and a draw is about as on-script as that read gets. On goals, under 2.5 goals (59%) landed while no to both teams scoring (55%) missed.

On the day, Montevideo Wanderers had 39% of the ball to Liverpool FC (Montevideo)'s 61%, shots finished 11-10.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) led the recent series with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Montevideo Wanderers and 2.00 for Liverpool FC (Montevideo).

What was the final score of Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Montevideo Wanderers vs Liverpool FC (Montevideo)?

Before kick-off our model rated a Montevideo Wanderers win the most likely single outcome at about 35%, with the full match-result split Montevideo Wanderers 35%, draw 30%, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 35%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (35/30/35) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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