Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Uruguay - Premier League, 15 Oct 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1 HT 0-1
Montevideo Wanderers
📅15/10/2024 · 🕒20:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✓ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
Uruguay - Premier League – 2024

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
38%
2.05
Draw
26%
3.35
Away
36%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
55%
1.8
Over 2.5
45%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.75
No
50%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
31%
2-3 Goals
40%
4-5 Goals
19%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
20%
1/2
11%
1/X
10%
X/1
10%
X/2
8%
X/X
8%
2/1
7%
2/2
17%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
38%
Home Win
45%
-7.1pp
26%
Draw
26%
+0.0pp
36%
Away Win
29%
+7.1pp
55%
Under 2.5
52%
+3.0pp
45%
Over 2.5
48%
-3.0pp
50%
BTTS Yes
53%
-2.9pp
50%
BTTS No
47%
+2.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) v Montevideo Wanderers — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo) EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers EU Bookmakers 32%
-2% / -17% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +9% / +9%
0.58/1.29 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.29/0.58
+12% / -16% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +11% / +6%
52% Ball Possession 48%
13 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
316 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 254 · 71%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
14.0 Crosses 20.0
2.6 Yellow Cards 3.1

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
3W-3D-0L
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
52% Ball Possession 48%
16 Total Shots 11
7 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 4
The Meetings
17.04.2024 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 2-3 HT 0-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
07.10.2023 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 2-1 HT 2-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
28.02.2023 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 1-1 HT 1-1 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU
27.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 4-0 HT 1-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URUK
24.09.2022 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 HT 0-0 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers URU
23.04.2022 Montevideo Wanderers Montevideo Wanderers 0-0 HT 0-0 Liverpool FC (Montevideo) Liverpool FC (Montevideo) URU

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Liverpool FC (Montevideo)
1-1
AWAY Montevideo Wanderers
63% Ball Possession 37%
20 Total Shots 7
3 Shots on Target 4
10 Corners 6
2 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and Montevideo Wanderers shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-1.

Our pre-match split (38% / 26% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (55%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had 63% of the ball to Montevideo Wanderers's 37%, shots finished 20-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Liverpool FC (Montevideo) had the better of it with 3 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) and 0.83 for Montevideo Wanderers.

What was the final score of Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 1-1 Montevideo Wanderers in the Uruguay - Premier League on 15/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Liverpool FC (Montevideo) vs Montevideo Wanderers?

Before kick-off our model rated a Liverpool FC (Montevideo) win the most likely single outcome at about 38%, with the full match-result split Liverpool FC (Montevideo) 38%, draw 26%, Montevideo Wanderers 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Liverpool FC (Montevideo)) ✓ Under 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →