Triestina 0-1 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 15 Feb 2026

Triestina
0 - 1 HT 0 - 0
Novara
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 ✗ 2nd Score 2-0 ✗
Italy - Serie C – 2025/2026

Triestina vs Novara Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Authentic Intelligence™ · Probability per market
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.47
Draw
32%
3.04
Away
34%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under Pick
56%
1.67
Over
44%
2.02
Both Teams to Score
Yes
51%
1.84
No
49%
1.84
Total Goals
0-1
31%
2-3
46%
4-5
19%
6+
4%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
19%
1/2
2%
1/X
5%
X/1
14%
X/2
13%
X/X
22%
2/1
2%
2/2
18%
2/X
5%
Our Pick = the most likely outcome.

Triestina v Novara — Team-Based Signals

SIGNALS Team Signals — the why behind the numbers
iddaakolik predictions — not real match figures
HOME Triestina The Market 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara The Market 37%
Average Team Performanceagainst Market Expectation Weak
1.40 xG Scorediddaakolik model prediction 1.14
1.38 xG Concedediddaakolik model prediction 1.08
Great Attack Strength Weak
Average Defense Strength Weak
50% Ball Possession 50%
11 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 4
354 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 74%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area –
– Crosses –
2 Yellow Cards 2

Triestina vs Novara Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
4W-2D-0L
AWAY Novara
2.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.83
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
05.10.2025 Novara Novara 0-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
25.04.2025 Triestina Triestina 6-0 HT 5-0 Novara Novara İTC
14.12.2024 Novara Novara 2-3 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.12.2023 Novara Novara 2-3 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
14.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
13.09.2022 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC

Triestina 0-1 Novara — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
0 - 1
AWAY Novara
50% Ball Possession 50%
5 Total Shots 10
2 Shots on Target 4
3 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 1
REVIEW Triestina vs Novara
IDDAAKOLIK POST-MATCH REVIEW

Novara nicked a narrow win over Triestina 1-0 on the road. It stood 0-0 at the interval — everything that mattered happened after the restart.

The model refused to pick a side here (34% / 32% / 34%); Novara picked one for it. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (56%), and that read landed as well.

By the numbers, possession split 50% to 50% in Triestina's favour, shots finished 5-10.

The head-to-head backdrop: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Scoring in those meetings ran 2.50 a game for Triestina against 0.83 for Novara.

Triestina vs Novara Result & Final Score

Triestina 0 - 1 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

Triestina vs Novara Prediction vs Result

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 34%, with the full match-result split Triestina 34%, draw 32%, Novara 34%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while BTTS Yes went the other way.

◐ Match Result — model had it level (34/32/34) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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