Triestina 6-0 Novara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
39%
2.33
Draw
28%
2.77
Away
33%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
59%
1.6
Over 2.5
41%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
42%
1.88
No
58%
1.82
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
35%
2.5
2-3 Goals
39%
1.73
4-5 Goals
19%
4.35
6+ Goals
7%
22.9
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
6%
1/X
7%
X/1
13%
X/2
13%
X/X
12%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
39%
Home Win
39%
+0.1pp
28%
Draw
32%
-4.8pp
33%
Away Win
29%
+4.6pp
59%
Under 2.5
59%
+0.6pp
41%
Over 2.5
41%
-0.6pp
42%
BTTS Yes
49%
-7.2pp
58%
BTTS No
51%
+7.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Triestina EU Bookmakers 43%
Head to Head
AWAY Novara EU Bookmakers 32%
-10% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -6% / +1%
1.06/1.24 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.03/1.24
-14% / -18% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -4% / -7%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 4
313 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 355 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.5 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Triestina
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Novara
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
7 Shots on Target 4
7 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
14.12.2024 Novara Novara 2-3 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTC
17.12.2023 Novara Novara 2-3 HT 1-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
14.01.2023 Triestina Triestina 2-0 HT 2-0 Novara Novara İTC
13.09.2022 Novara Novara 1-1 HT 0-1 Triestina Triestina İTC
24.01.2011 Triestina Triestina 1-1 HT 1-0 Novara Novara İTB
26.08.2010 Novara Novara 2-0 HT 0-0 Triestina Triestina İTB
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Triestina
6-0
AWAY Novara
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 1
1 Corners 4
0 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Triestina vs Novara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Triestina cruised past Novara 6-0. Half-time: 5-0. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.

We called this one close before kick-off — 39% / 28% / 33% — and on the day Triestina made the difference. On goals, no to both teams scoring (58%) landed while under 2.5 goals (59%) missed.

On the day, Triestina had 52% of the ball to Novara's 48%, shots finished 11-7.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Triestina had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Triestina and 1.33 for Novara.

What was the final score of Triestina vs Novara?

Triestina 6-0 Novara in the Italy - Serie C on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Triestina vs Novara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Triestina win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Triestina 39%, draw 28%, Novara 33%. The final score 6-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Triestina), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Triestina) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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