Virtus Verona 1-1 AlbinoLeffe — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Apr 2025

📅25/04/2025 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
32%
2.67
Draw
32%
2.94
Away
36%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
54%
1.74
Over 2.5
46%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
1.75
No
52%
1.96
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
29%
2.89
2-3 Goals
39%
1.74
4-5 Goals
20%
3.72
6+ Goals
12%
16.3
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.89 — our 29% vs market 27.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
6%
1/X
8%
X/1
12%
X/2
16%
X/X
17%
2/1
9%
2/2
14%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
32%
Home Win
34%
-2.1pp
32%
Draw
30%
+1.7pp
36%
Away Win
36%
+0.4pp
54%
Under 2.5
54%
+0.3pp
46%
Over 2.5
46%
-0.3pp
48%
BTTS Yes
53%
-5.1pp
52%
BTTS No
47%
+5.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 39%
-5% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +8% / +7%
1.07/0.96 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.34/1.05
-8% / +13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / +6%
48% Ball Possession 52%
12 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
319 · 79% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 324 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.8 Yellow Cards 1.9
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Virtus Verona
2W-2D-2L
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
49% Ball Possession 51%
9 Total Shots 11
3 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
2 Yellow Cards 3
16.12.2024 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 3-1 HT 1-1 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
17.02.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
08.04.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
04.12.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
10.04.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Virtus Verona
1-1
AWAY AlbinoLeffe
44% Ball Possession 56%
9 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 7
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Virtus Verona vs AlbinoLeffe
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Virtus Verona and AlbinoLeffe couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (32% / 32% / 36%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 46% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

On the day, Virtus Verona had 44% of the ball to AlbinoLeffe's 56%, shots finished 9-8.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, honours were even at 2 apiece, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Virtus Verona and 1.00 for AlbinoLeffe.

What was the final score of Virtus Verona vs AlbinoLeffe?

Virtus Verona 1-1 AlbinoLeffe in the Italy - Serie C on 25/04/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Virtus Verona vs AlbinoLeffe?

Before kick-off our model rated an AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 36%, with the full match-result split Virtus Verona 32%, draw 32%, AlbinoLeffe 36%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (AlbinoLeffe), BTTS No went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
İTC More Italy - Serie C
25 Apr 2025
17:30 Clodiense vs Caldiero Terme Analysis →
17:30 Triestina vs Novara Analysis →
17:30 Pro Vercelli vs Renate Analysis →
17:30 Trento AC vs Vicenza Analysis →
17:30 Pergolettese vs Pro Patria Analysis →
17:30 Lumezzane vs Padova Calcio Analysis →