AlbinoLeffe 3-1 Virtus Verona — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
1.86
Draw
30%
3.18
Away
26%
4.04
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
63%
1.54
Over 2.5
37%
2.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
43%
2.13
No
57%
1.63
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.24
2-3 Goals
38%
1.73
4-5 Goals
18%
4.84
6+ Goals
8%
29.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
17%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
20%
X/2
12%
X/X
14%
2/1
7%
2/2
7%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
50%
-5.8pp
30%
Draw
28%
+1.3pp
26%
Away Win
22%
+4.6pp
63%
Under 2.5
61%
+1.5pp
37%
Over 2.5
39%
-1.5pp
43%
BTTS Yes
43%
+0.4pp
57%
BTTS No
57%
-0.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME AlbinoLeffe EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Virtus Verona EU Bookmakers 25%
-20% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +13% / +0%
0.90/0.97 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.10/0.97
-37% / -4% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +39%
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
281 · 73% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 335 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.9 Yellow Cards 2.8
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME AlbinoLeffe
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Virtus Verona
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
3 Yellow Cards 2
17.02.2024 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 1-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
13.10.2023 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 1-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
08.04.2023 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 2-1 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
04.12.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-1 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
10.04.2022 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe 0-0 HT 0-0 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona İTC
04.12.2021 Virtus Verona Virtus Verona 0-0 HT 0-0 AlbinoLeffe AlbinoLeffe İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME AlbinoLeffe
3-1
AWAY Virtus Verona
57% Ball Possession 43%
13 Total Shots 3
7 Shots on Target 2
4 Corners 4
POST-MATCH AlbinoLeffe vs Virtus Verona
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

AlbinoLeffe saw off Virtus Verona 3-1. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had AlbinoLeffe as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 3-1 landed on that lead. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (63%), no to both teams scoring (57%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, AlbinoLeffe had 57% of the ball to Virtus Verona's 43%, shots finished 13-3.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Virtus Verona led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for AlbinoLeffe and 0.67 for Virtus Verona.

What was the final score of AlbinoLeffe vs Virtus Verona?

AlbinoLeffe 3-1 Virtus Verona in the Italy - Serie C on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for AlbinoLeffe vs Virtus Verona?

Before kick-off our model rated a AlbinoLeffe win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split AlbinoLeffe 44%, draw 30%, Virtus Verona 26%. The final score 3-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) — while Under 2.5, BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (AlbinoLeffe) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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