US Latina 0-1 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 16 Dec 2024

📅16/12/2024 · 🕒22:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
27%
3.75
Draw
24%
3.18
Away
49%
1.89
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
61%
1.56
Over 2.5
39%
2.29
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
36%
2.26
2-3 Goals
37%
1.72
4-5 Goals
17%
4.76
6+ Goals
10%
28.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
4%
1/X
4%
X/1
7%
X/2
16%
X/X
15%
2/1
5%
2/2
29%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
28%
Home Win
23%
+4.2pp
24%
Draw
28%
-4.3pp
49%
Away Win
49%
+0.1pp
61%
Under 2.5
60%
+0.7pp
39%
Over 2.5
40%
-0.7pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-3.9pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+3.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 27%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 53%
+3% / -2% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +11% / +11%
0.71/1.21 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.30/0.64
-34% / +3% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +59% / +48%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
253 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 356 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
2.6 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-1D-2L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
48% Ball Possession 52%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
5 Yellow Cards 2
25.02.2024 US Latina US Latina 2-2 HT 0-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
21.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
16.04.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
11.12.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
0-1
AWAY Audace Cerignola
39% Ball Possession 61%
5 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 3
2 Corners 5
2 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Audace Cerignola edged past US Latina 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Audace Cerignola as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (61%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

On the day, US Latina had 39% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 61%, shots finished 5-15.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola led the recent series with 2 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for US Latina and 1.50 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Audace Cerignola?

US Latina 0-1 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 16/12/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split US Latina 28%, draw 24%, Audace Cerignola 49%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Audace Cerignola), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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