US Latina 2-2 Audace Cerignola — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Italy - Serie C, 25 Feb 2024

📅25/02/2024 · 🕒22:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.53
Draw
29%
3.11
Away
37%
2.54
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
56%
1.6
Over 2.5
44%
2.21
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
1.95
No
54%
1.76
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2.52
2-3 Goals
40%
1.77
4-5 Goals
18%
4.7
6+ Goals
9%
26.0
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
7%
1/X
9%
X/1
13%
X/2
14%
X/X
11%
2/1
7%
2/2
15%
2/X
10%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
36%
-1.7pp
29%
Draw
29%
+0.6pp
37%
Away Win
36%
+1.1pp
56%
Under 2.5
59%
-2.4pp
44%
Over 2.5
41%
+2.4pp
46%
BTTS Yes
47%
-0.8pp
54%
BTTS No
53%
+0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME US Latina EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Audace Cerignola EU Bookmakers 39%
+11% / +8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +7% / +11%
0.96/0.74 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.23/1.07
-18% / +46% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +8% / +2%
52% Ball Possession 48%
11 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
311 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 285 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
3.2 Yellow Cards 2.4
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME US Latina
1W-0D-2L
AWAY Audace Cerignola
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
6 Yellow Cards 2
21.10.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-0 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
16.04.2023 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola 2-1 HT 1-0 US Latina US Latina İTC
11.12.2022 US Latina US Latina 1-0 HT 1-0 Audace Cerignola Audace Cerignola İTC
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME US Latina
2-2
AWAY Audace Cerignola
57% Ball Possession 43%
11 Total Shots 8
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH US Latina vs Audace Cerignola
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

US Latina and Audace Cerignola couldn't be separated, finishing 2-2. Half-time: 0-0.

Our pre-match split (34% / 29% / 37%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right. The goals read — under 2.5 goals (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, US Latina had 57% of the ball to Audace Cerignola's 43%, shots finished 11-8.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, Audace Cerignola led the recent series with 2 wins. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for US Latina and 1.33 for Audace Cerignola.

What was the final score of US Latina vs Audace Cerignola?

US Latina 2-2 Audace Cerignola in the Italy - Serie C on 25/02/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for US Latina vs Audace Cerignola?

Before kick-off our model rated an Audace Cerignola win the most likely single outcome at about 37%, with the full match-result split US Latina 34%, draw 29%, Audace Cerignola 37%. The final score 2-2 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Audace Cerignola) ✗ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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