Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive Leipzig — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Germany - Regional League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒18:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
3.29
Draw
28%
3.18
Away
48%
2.03
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
50%
1.8
Over 2.5
50%
1.91
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.76
No
46%
1.95
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
2-3 Goals
41%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
9%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
13%
1/2
8%
1/X
6%
X/1
5%
X/2
18%
X/X
14%
2/1
5%
2/2
23%
2/X
8%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
24%
Home Win
27%
-3.2pp
28%
Draw
28%
-0.1pp
48%
Away Win
45%
+3.3pp
50%
Under 2.5
52%
-1.4pp
50%
Over 2.5
48%
+1.4pp
54%
BTTS Yes
53%
+1.4pp
46%
BTTS No
47%
-1.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Chemnitzer FC EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig EU Bookmakers 49%
+3% / +11% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +2% / +0%
1.26/1.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.20/1.44
-3% / +23% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +25% / -8%
47% Ball Possession 53%
12 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
260 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 276 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
1.6 Yellow Cards 2.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Chemnitzer FC
2W-3D-1L
AWAY Lokomotive Leipzig
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
46% Ball Possession 54%
9 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
2 Corners 5
4 Yellow Cards 3
27.08.2025 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-1 HT 1-0 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
08.11.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 0-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
02.03.2024 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 1-1 HT 1-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
15.09.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-0 HT 0-0 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
12.05.2023 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC 1-1 HT 1-1 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig ALMBÖL
31.01.2023 Lokomotive Leipzig Lokomotive Leipzig 2-2 HT 0-1 Chemnitzer FC Chemnitzer FC ALMBÖL
POST-MATCH Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Chemnitzer FC swept aside Lokomotive Leipzig 3-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was Lokomotive Leipzig at 48%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Chemnitzer FC had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Chemnitzer FC and 1.00 for Lokomotive Leipzig.

What was the final score of Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Chemnitzer FC 3-0 Lokomotive Leipzig in the Germany - Regional League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Chemnitzer FC vs Lokomotive Leipzig?

Before kick-off our model rated an Lokomotive Leipzig win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split Chemnitzer FC 24%, draw 28%, Lokomotive Leipzig 48%. The final score 3-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Lokomotive Leipzig) ✗ BTTS Yes
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