Western United II 1-0 Melbourne Srbija — Result, Statistics & Match Review — AVPL1, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒06:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 1-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.13
Draw
18%
4.34
Away
60%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
51%
Over 2.5
49%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.41
No
46%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
48%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
9%
1/2
11%
1/X
9%
X/1
9%
X/2
18%
X/X
6%
2/1
4%
2/2
31%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
20%
+1.6pp
19%
Draw
19%
-0.6pp
60%
Away Win
61%
-1.0pp
54%
BTTS Yes
67%
-12.7pp
46%
BTTS No
33%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Western United II EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Melbourne Srbija EU Bookmakers 66%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
/ Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
40% Ball Possession 60%
9 Total Shots 15
3 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
273 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 440 · 84%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Western United II
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Melbourne Srbija
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
26.07.2025 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija 1-1 HT 0-1 Western United II Western United II NPL2
13.04.2025 Western United II Western United II 3-1 Melbourne Srbija Melbourne Srbija NPL2
POST-MATCH Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Western United II edged past Melbourne Srbija 1-0.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Melbourne Srbija at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Western United II had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Western United II and 1.00 for Melbourne Srbija.

What was the final score of Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija?

Western United II 1-0 Melbourne Srbija in the AVPL1 on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Western United II vs Melbourne Srbija?

Before kick-off our model rated an Melbourne Srbija win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Western United II 22%, draw 19%, Melbourne Srbija 60%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5 — while Match Result (Melbourne Srbija), BTTS Yes went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Melbourne Srbija) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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