Maniema Union 3-0 Nairobi United — Result, Statistics & Match Review — CAF Konfederasyon Cup, 15 Feb 2026

Maniema Union
3-0 HT 3-0
Nairobi United
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒17:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-0 ✗ 2nd Score 1-0 ✗
CAF Konfederasyon Cup – 2025/2026

Maniema Union vs Nairobi United Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
75%
1.25
Draw
16%
5.15
Away
9%
10.87
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
52%
2.07
Over 2.5
48%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
32%
2.44
No
68%
1.49
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
30%
3.72
2-3 Goals
43%
1.79
4-5 Goals
20%
3.02
6+ Goals
7%
9.9
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 3.72 — our 30% vs market 20.6%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
48%
1/2
2%
1/X
6%
X/1
22%
X/2
4%
X/X
7%
2/1
5%
2/2
3%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
75%
Home Win
76%
-1.1pp
16%
Draw
17%
-1.0pp
9%
Away Win
7%
+2.1pp
52%
Under 2.5
44%
+7.6pp
48%
Over 2.5
56%
-7.6pp
32%
BTTS Yes
37%
-5.4pp
68%
BTTS No
63%
+5.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Maniema Union v Nairobi United — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Maniema Union EU Bookmakers 80%
Head to Head
AWAY Nairobi United EU Bookmakers 9%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +3% / +3%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
– / – Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +15% / +8%
61% Ball Possession 39%
17 Total Shots 7
6 Shots on Target 2
7 Corners 2
431 · 84% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 250 · 73%
– Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 4.0
– Crosses 8.0
– Yellow Cards 1.5

Maniema Union vs Nairobi United Head-to-Head — Last 1 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Maniema Union
1W-0D-0L
AWAY Nairobi United
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
0.60 xG 0.26
45% Ball Possession 55%
6 Total Shots 8
1 Shots on Target 2
5 Corners 5
204 Passes 216
63% Pass Accuracy 64%
15 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 14
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
30.11.2025 Nairobi United Nairobi United 0-1 HT 0-0 Maniema Union CAFKK

Maniema Union 3-0 Nairobi United — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Maniema Union
3-0
AWAY Nairobi United
3.30 xG 0.81
58% Ball Possession 42%
16 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
327 Passes 217
76% Pass Accuracy 67%
26 Box Touches 13
16 Crosses 14
1 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Maniema Union vs Nairobi United
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Maniema Union cruised past Nairobi United 3-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Maniema Union as the likeliest winner at 75%, and the 3-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged no to both teams scoring (68%), and that read landed as well.

On the day, Maniema Union had 58% of the ball to Nairobi United's 42%, shots finished 16-12, expected goals 3.30 to 0.81.

What was the final score of Maniema Union vs Nairobi United?

Maniema Union 3-0 Nairobi United in the CAF Konfederasyon Cup on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Maniema Union vs Nairobi United?

Before kick-off our model rated a Maniema Union win the most likely single outcome at about 75%, with the full match-result split Maniema Union 75%, draw 16%, Nairobi United 9%. The final score 3-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Maniema Union), BTTS No — while Under 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Maniema Union) ✗ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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