FC Fredericia 1-1 AGF Aarhus — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Denmark - Süperlig, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
20%
4.71
Draw
20%
4.34
Away
60%
1.49
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
37%
2.51
Over 2.5
63%
1.48
Both Teams to Score
Yes
59%
1.63
No
41%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
18%
5.02
2-3 Goals
44%
1.95
4-5 Goals
24%
2.66
6+ Goals
14%
6.67
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
6%
9.17
1/2
7%
19.4
1/X
6%
17.65
X/1
9%
12.25
X/2
22%
4.18
X/X
5%
7.05
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
32%
1.81
2/X
9%
15.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
20%
Home Win
18%
+1.6pp
20%
Draw
20%
+0.4pp
60%
Away Win
62%
-2.0pp
37%
Under 2.5
36%
+1.0pp
63%
Over 2.5
64%
-1.1pp
59%
BTTS Yes
57%
+1.9pp
41%
BTTS No
43%
-1.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME FC Fredericia EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY AGF Aarhus EU Bookmakers 67%
-13% / -13% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -8% / -8%
0.95/1.70 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 2.37/1.25
-16% / -21% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -23%
42% Ball Possession 58%
10 Total Shots 16
4 Shots on Target 6
5 Corners 6
315 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 433 · 84%
20.2 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.3
13.0 Crosses 25.5
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.1
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME FC Fredericia
2W-0D-1L
AWAY AGF Aarhus
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
0.99 xG 3.40
44% Ball Possession 56%
12 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 8
2 Corners 6
297 Passes 551
84% Pass Accuracy 90%
17 Box Touches 53
7 Crosses 28
1 Yellow Cards 0
31.08.2025 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 4-1 HT 2-0 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia DAN
01.12.2022 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus 0-1 HT 0-1 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia HAZ
21.09.2017 FC Fredericia FC Fredericia 1-0 HT 0-0 AGF Aarhus AGF Aarhus DAK
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME FC Fredericia
1-1
AWAY AGF Aarhus
36% Ball Possession 64%
6 Total Shots 14
1 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 11
POST-MATCH FC Fredericia vs AGF Aarhus
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

FC Fredericia and AGF Aarhus shared the points in a 1-1 draw.

This one beat our numbers. AGF Aarhus carried 60% before kick-off and it didn't land — a reminder that even strong leads lose regularly. On goals, both teams to score (59%) landed while over 2.5 goals (63%) missed.

On the day, FC Fredericia had 36% of the ball to AGF Aarhus's 64%, shots finished 6-14.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, FC Fredericia had the better of it with 2 wins. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for FC Fredericia and 1.33 for AGF Aarhus.

What was the final score of FC Fredericia vs AGF Aarhus?

FC Fredericia 1-1 AGF Aarhus in the Denmark - Süperlig on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for FC Fredericia vs AGF Aarhus?

Before kick-off our model rated an AGF Aarhus win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split FC Fredericia 20%, draw 20%, AGF Aarhus 60%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (AGF Aarhus), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (AGF Aarhus) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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