Telstar 1-1 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 15 Feb 2026

Telstar
1-1 HT 1-0
Twente
📅15/02/2026 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-2 ✗ 2nd Score 1-3 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

Telstar vs Twente Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
22%
4.71
Draw
21%
4.19
Away
57%
1.52
Under/Over 2.5
Under
39%
2.33
Over Pick
61%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.68
No
44%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1
20%
4.62
2-3
39%
1.9
4-5
27%
2.76
6+
14%
7.47
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
8.95
1/2 ✗
13%
20.0
1/X
5%
17.3
X/1
9%
11.75
X/2
21%
4.17
X/X
11%
6.64
2/1
4%
34.5
2/2
24%
1.86
2/X
5%
15.45
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.0 — our 13% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
Over 2.5 — 61% ✗
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH Away Win BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
22%
Home Win
18%
+3.9pp
21%
Draw
21%
+0.1pp
57%
Away Win
61%
-4.0pp
39%
Under 2.5
39%
-0.0pp
61%
Over 2.5
61%
+0.0pp
56%
BTTS Yes
56%
+0.7pp
44%
BTTS No
44%
-0.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

Telstar v Twente — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Telstar EU Bookmakers 21%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 66%
-14% / -14% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +1% / -2%
1.23/1.62 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.92/1.01
+4% / +6% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -6% / +50%
45% Ball Possession 55%
9 Total Shots 17
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 7
306 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 423 · 82%
18.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 30.8
17.2 Crosses 17.5
1.0 Yellow Cards 1.9

Telstar vs Twente Head-to-Head — Last 4 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Telstar
0W-1D-3L
AWAY Twente
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 1.75
0.82 xG 2.20
40% Ball Possession 60%
8 Total Shots 22
2 Shots on Target 9
4 Corners 7
213 Passes 495
70% Pass Accuracy 84%
15 Box Touches 45
14 Crosses 24
2 Yellow Cards 1
The Meetings
07.11.2025 Twente Twente 0-0 HT 0-0 Telstar Telstar HOL
10.01.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 2-0 Telstar Telstar HOK
12.04.2019 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 Telstar Telstar HOL2
21.09.2018 Telstar Telstar 1-3 HT 1-1 Twente Twente HOL2

Telstar 1-1 Twente — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Telstar
1-1
AWAY Twente
1.31 xG 1.87
47% Ball Possession 53%
14 Total Shots 20
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 6
329 Passes 385
77% Pass Accuracy 81%
22 Box Touches 47
11 Crosses 25
1 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Telstar vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Telstar and Twente couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Twente at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. On goals, both teams to score (56%) landed while over 2.5 goals (61%) missed.

On the day, Telstar had 47% of the ball to Twente's 53%, shots finished 14-20, expected goals 1.31 to 1.87.

For context: across their last 4 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Telstar and 1.75 for Twente.

What was the final score of Telstar vs Twente?

Telstar 1-1 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Telstar vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Telstar 22%, draw 21%, Twente 57%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5 went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Twente) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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