Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle Prediction — Model Probabilities
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Heerenveen v PEC Zwolle — Team-Based Signals
Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
0-1
HT 0-1
PEC Zwolle
HOL
Heerenveen 4-2 PEC Zwolle — Actual Match Statistics
Heerenveen got the better of PEC Zwolle 4-2. It was 1-2 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-2 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (60%), both teams to score (61%), and both reads landed as well.
On the day, Heerenveen had 44% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 56%, shots finished 11-12, expected goals 1.79 to 1.27.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Heerenveen and 1.17 for PEC Zwolle.
What was the final score of Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Heerenveen 4-2 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?
Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 57%, draw 22%, PEC Zwolle 21%. The final score 4-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.