PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 16 Feb 2025

📅16/02/2025 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
37%
2.53
Draw
25%
3.28
Away
38%
2.47
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
48%
1.9
Over 2.5
52%
1.82
Both Teams to Score
Yes
50%
1.68
No
50%
2.06
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
28%
3.24
2-3 Goals
32%
1.76
4-5 Goals
28%
3.42
6+ Goals
12%
13.25
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
3.95
1/2
8%
27.5
1/X
6%
12.9
X/1
15%
5.89
X/2
15%
5.54
X/X
12%
4.62
2/1
7%
28.5
2/2
15%
3.59
2/X
7%
12.8
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
37%
Home Win
36%
+0.6pp
25%
Draw
27%
-2.3pp
39%
Away Win
37%
+1.6pp
48%
Under 2.5
49%
-0.6pp
52%
Over 2.5
51%
+0.6pp
50%
BTTS Yes
56%
-5.3pp
50%
BTTS No
44%
+5.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 40%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -1% / -13%
1.34/1.37 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.27/1.46
+10% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -19% / -11%
50% Ball Possession 50%
13 Total Shots 12
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 4
338 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 354 · 78%
25.1 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 22.1
21.2 Crosses 18.7
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.2
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Heerenveen
0.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.33
1.10 xG 1.61
51% Ball Possession 49%
11 Total Shots 13
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 5
346 Passes 342
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
23 Box Touches 24
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
06.10.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
03.03.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
13.01.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.01.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
02.10.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
31.07.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HAZ
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-1
AWAY Heerenveen
0.89 xG 1.11
46% Ball Possession 54%
8 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 3
270 Passes 317
74% Pass Accuracy 76%
16 Box Touches 32
13 Crosses 17
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle and Heerenveen shared the points in a 1-1 draw. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

Our pre-match split (37% / 25% / 39%) said coin-flip, and the draw proved it right.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 52% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 46% of the ball to Heerenveen's 54%, shots finished 8-12, expected goals 0.89 to 1.11.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.67 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.33 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

PEC Zwolle 1-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 37%, draw 25%, Heerenveen 39%. The final score 1-1 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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