Ajax vs Heracles Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Ajax v Heracles — Team-Based Signals
Ajax vs Heracles Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
4-1
HT 1-1
Heracles
HOL
3-0
HT 1-0
Heracles
HOL
0-0
HT 0-0
Ajax
HOL
0-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
Ajax 4-0 Heracles — Actual Match Statistics
Ajax swept aside Heracles 4-0. Half-time: 2-0.
As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Ajax as the likeliest winner at 57%, and the 4-0 landed on that lead. We had also flagged over 2.5 goals (59%), and that read landed as well.
On the day, Ajax had 56% of the ball to Heracles's 44%, shots finished 11-8, expected goals 2.62 to 0.48.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax had the better of it with 5 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.83 goals for Ajax and 1.00 for Heracles.
What was the final score of Ajax vs Heracles?
Ajax 4-0 Heracles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Ajax vs Heracles?
Before kick-off our model rated a Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split Ajax 57%, draw 24%, Heracles 19%. The final score 4-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Ajax), Over 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.