NEC Nijmegen vs Almere City Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
NEC Nijmegen v Almere City — Team-Based Signals
NEC Nijmegen vs Almere City Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Almere City
HOL
0-4
HT 0-2
NEC Nijmegen
HOK
0-4
HT 0-2
NEC Nijmegen
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL2
NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Almere City — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen and Almere City shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had NEC Nijmegen at 57% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 54% and both teams to score was close to even at 51%.
On the day, NEC Nijmegen had 48% of the ball to Almere City's 52%, shots finished 9-13, expected goals 0.93 to 0.70.
Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, NEC Nijmegen had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 2.17 goals for NEC Nijmegen and 0.83 for Almere City.
What was the final score of NEC Nijmegen vs Almere City?
NEC Nijmegen 2-2 Almere City in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 16/02/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for NEC Nijmegen vs Almere City?
Before kick-off our model rated a NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 57%, with the full match-result split NEC Nijmegen 57%, draw 21%, Almere City 21%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (NEC Nijmegen) went the other way.