Almere City vs NEC Nijmegen Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Almere City v NEC Nijmegen — Team-Based Signals
Almere City vs NEC Nijmegen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
Almere City
HOL
0-4
HT 0-2
NEC Nijmegen
HOK
0-4
HT 0-2
NEC Nijmegen
HOL2
2-0
HT 1-0
NEC Nijmegen
HOL2
0-1
HT 0-0
Almere City
HOL2
2-3
HT 0-2
Almere City
HOL2
Almere City 1-4 NEC Nijmegen — Actual Match Statistics
NEC Nijmegen cruised past Almere City 4-1 away from home. Half-time: 1-2. 5 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had NEC Nijmegen as the likeliest winner at 42%, and the 4-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — both teams to score (56%) came in.
On the day, Almere City had 46% of the ball to NEC Nijmegen's 54%, shots finished 15-20, expected goals 1.04 to 3.12.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Almere City had the better of it with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.17 goals for Almere City and 1.83 for NEC Nijmegen.
What was the final score of Almere City vs NEC Nijmegen?
Almere City 1-4 NEC Nijmegen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Almere City vs NEC Nijmegen?
Before kick-off our model rated an NEC Nijmegen win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Almere City 31%, draw 27%, NEC Nijmegen 42%. The final score 1-4 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (NEC Nijmegen), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.