Vitesse vs Ajax Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
Vitesse v Ajax — Team-Based Signals
Vitesse vs Ajax Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
5-0
HT 2-0
Vitesse
HOL
1-2
HT 1-1
Ajax
HOL
2-2
HT 1-1
Vitesse
HOL
2-2
HT 0-1
Ajax
HOL
5-0
HT 2-0
Vitesse
HOK
5-0
HT 3-0
Vitesse
HOL
Vitesse 2-2 Ajax — Actual Match Statistics
Vitesse and Ajax shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.
By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Ajax at 55% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (56%) came in.
On the day, Vitesse had 43% of the ball to Ajax's 57%, shots finished 15-25, expected goals 1.85 to 3.09.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Ajax led the recent series with 4 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for Vitesse and 3.50 for Ajax.
What was the final score of Vitesse vs Ajax?
Vitesse 2-2 Ajax in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for Vitesse vs Ajax?
Before kick-off our model rated an Ajax win the most likely single outcome at about 55%, with the full match-result split Vitesse 25%, draw 20%, Ajax 55%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5 — while Match Result (Ajax), BTTS No went the other way.