PEC Zwolle 1-2 Twente — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 1-3
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
24%
5.91
Draw
28%
4.81
Away
48%
1.33
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
47%
2.96
Over 2.5
53%
1.36
Both Teams to Score
Yes
54%
1.61
No
46%
2.16
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
20%
2-3 Goals
42%
4-5 Goals
25%
6+ Goals
13%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
7%
1/2
7%
1/X
6%
X/1
11%
X/2
14%
X/X
16%
2/1
6%
2/2
27%
2/X
6%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
13%
+11.2pp
28%
Draw
17%
+10.8pp
48%
Away Win
70%
-22.1pp
47%
Under 2.5
30%
+16.5pp
53%
Over 2.5
70%
-16.5pp
54%
BTTS Yes
58%
-4.4pp
46%
BTTS No
42%
+4.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 17%
Head to Head
AWAY Twente EU Bookmakers 75%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -21%
1.25/1.51 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.57/1.02
-14% / -8% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -36% / +33%
40% Ball Possession 60%
10 Total Shots 18
3 Shots on Target 7
4 Corners 6
282 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 456 · 84%
18.5 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 31.2
16.7 Crosses 19.4
1.8 Yellow Cards 1.5
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-0D-5L
AWAY Twente
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 2.33
0.97 xG 1.34
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 344
74% Pass Accuracy 75%
14 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 16
2 Yellow Cards 1
20.08.2023 Twente Twente 3-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
19.03.2022 Twente Twente 1-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
18.12.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-3 HT 0-2 Twente Twente HOL
10.04.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-0 HT 1-0 Twente Twente HOL
31.10.2020 Twente Twente 5-1 HT 3-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
10.11.2019 Twente Twente 2-1 HT 2-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
1-2
AWAY Twente
1.14 xG 2.62
48% Ball Possession 52%
6 Total Shots 26
3 Shots on Target 6
1 Corners 12
298 Passes 317
79% Pass Accuracy 81%
17 Box Touches 43
9 Crosses 32
2 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Twente
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Twente squeezed past PEC Zwolle 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Twente as the likeliest winner at 48%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 53% and both teams to score was close to even at 54%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 48% of the ball to Twente's 52%, shots finished 6-26, expected goals 1.14 to 2.62 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Twente's control.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Twente led the recent series with 5 wins. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 2.33 for Twente.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Twente?

PEC Zwolle 1-2 Twente in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Twente?

Before kick-off our model rated an Twente win the most likely single outcome at about 48%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 25%, draw 28%, Twente 48%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Twente), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Twente) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
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