AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Prediction — Model Probabilities
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
AZ Alkmaar v Utrecht — Team-Based Signals
AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings
1-1
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
1-2
HT 0-0
Utrecht
HOK
5-5
HT 3-3
Utrecht
HOL
1-2
HT 0-1
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
2-2
HT 1-2
AZ Alkmaar
HOL
5-1
HT 3-0
Utrecht
HOL
AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Utrecht — Actual Match Statistics
AZ Alkmaar and Utrecht shared the points in a 3-3 draw. It was 3-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half. 6 goals made it one of the day's more open games.
Our pre-match lean was AZ Alkmaar at 50%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.
Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 49% and both teams to score was close to even at 50%.
On the day, AZ Alkmaar had 37% of the ball to Utrecht's 63%, shots finished 7-21, expected goals 0.65 to 2.75.
For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, AZ Alkmaar had the better of it with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 2.67 goals for AZ Alkmaar and 2.00 for Utrecht.
What was the final score of AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht?
AZ Alkmaar 3-3 Utrecht in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.
What did the model predict for AZ Alkmaar vs Utrecht?
Before kick-off our model rated a AZ Alkmaar win the most likely single outcome at about 50%, with the full match-result split AZ Alkmaar 50%, draw 25%, Utrecht 25%. The final score 3-3 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.