Volendam 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-3 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
23%
4.13
Draw
22%
4.34
Away
55%
1.56
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
3.14
Over 2.5
55%
1.33
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.41
No
48%
2.67
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
7.96
2-3 Goals
38%
2.31
4-5 Goals
28%
2.39
6+ Goals
13%
4.24
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
7.17
1/2
6%
17.6
1/X
5%
15.2
X/1
7%
11.8
X/2 EV+ ✓
32%
4.28
X/X
9%
7.87
2/1
7%
34.5
2/2
18%
1.84
2/X
8%
15.1
Value flag · X/2 at 4.28 — our 32% vs market 18.3%. Landed.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Over 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
23%
Home Win
21%
+2.1pp
22%
Draw
20%
+2.0pp
56%
Away Win
60%
-4.1pp
45%
Under 2.5
28%
+16.6pp
55%
Over 2.5
72%
-16.6pp
52%
BTTS Yes
67%
-14.7pp
48%
BTTS No
33%
+14.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Volendam EU Bookmakers 24%
Head to Head
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles EU Bookmakers 64%
+5% / +6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-10% / -1% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
45% Ball Possession 55%
13 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
5 Corners 6
293 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 375 · 82%
16.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
16.5 Crosses
2.2 Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Volendam
1W-2D-3L
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.33 Avg Goals (FT) 2.17
1.18 xG 1.43
51% Ball Possession 49%
15 Total Shots 13
5 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 6
322 Passes 306
76% Pass Accuracy 76%
24 Box Touches 24
22 Crosses 19
2 Yellow Cards 1
19.08.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 4-1 HT 3-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
21.05.2023 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 3-0 HT 1-0 Volendam Volendam HOL
09.09.2022 Volendam Volendam 2-3 HT 1-1 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL
02.02.2021 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles 1-3 HT 0-1 Volendam Volendam HOL2
27.09.2020 Volendam Volendam 0-0 HT 0-0 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
28.02.2020 Volendam Volendam 2-2 HT 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles HOL2
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Volendam
1-2
AWAY Go Ahead Eagles
1.37 xG 2.86
46% Ball Possession 54%
14 Total Shots 21
4 Shots on Target 11
5 Corners 8
294 Passes 371
84% Pass Accuracy 84%
36 Box Touches 35
27 Crosses 13
0 Yellow Cards 1
POST-MATCH Volendam vs Go Ahead Eagles
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Go Ahead Eagles squeezed past Volendam 2-1 away from home. The game was level at 1-1 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Go Ahead Eagles as the likeliest winner at 56%, and the 2-1 landed on that lead. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%) came in.

On the day, Volendam had 46% of the ball to Go Ahead Eagles's 54%, shots finished 14-21, expected goals 1.37 to 2.86 — an xG gap that size says the one-goal margin undersold Go Ahead Eagles's control.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Go Ahead Eagles led the recent series with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.33 goals for Volendam and 2.17 for Go Ahead Eagles.

What was the final score of Volendam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Volendam 1-2 Go Ahead Eagles in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Volendam vs Go Ahead Eagles?

Before kick-off our model rated an Go Ahead Eagles win the most likely single outcome at about 56%, with the full match-result split Volendam 23%, draw 22%, Go Ahead Eagles 56%. The final score 1-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles), Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Go Ahead Eagles) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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