Heracles 0-0 Fortuna Sittard — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 19 May 2024

📅19/05/2024 · 🕒15:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
2.46
Draw
26%
3.54
Away
32%
2.39
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
2.38
Over 2.5
51%
1.52
Both Teams to Score
Yes
52%
1.46
No
48%
2.53
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
23%
5.14
2-3 Goals
42%
1.96
4-5 Goals
24%
2.73
6+ Goals
11%
7.01
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
21%
3.55
1/2
7%
24.0
1/X
7%
12.3
X/1
13%
6.06
X/2
9%
5.8
X/X
11%
5.59
2/1 EV+ ✗
8%
24.85
2/2
16%
3.34
2/X
8%
12.3
Value flag · 2/1 at 24.85 — our 8% vs market 1.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
37%
+5.0pp
26%
Draw
25%
+1.0pp
32%
Away Win
38%
-5.9pp
49%
Under 2.5
38%
+10.9pp
51%
Over 2.5
62%
-10.9pp
52%
BTTS Yes
64%
-12.4pp
48%
BTTS No
36%
+12.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heracles EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Fortuna Sittard EU Bookmakers 42%
+2% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +16% / +16%
1.44/1.53 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.58/1.25
+9% / -22% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +20% / +19%
51% Ball Possession 49%
12 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
6 Corners 5
332 · 76% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 320 · 75%
25.0 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.1
23.7 Crosses 17.7
1.6 Yellow Cards 1.6
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heracles
4W-0D-2L
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.20 xG 1.17
54% Ball Possession 46%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
386 Passes 311
81% Pass Accuracy 77%
21 Box Touches 20
22 Crosses 13
2 Yellow Cards 2
10.11.2023 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 4-1 HT 4-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
03.04.2022 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-2 HT 0-0 Heracles Heracles HOL
20.11.2021 Heracles Heracles 3-1 HT 2-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
05.02.2021 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard 0-1 HT 0-1 Heracles Heracles HOL
11.12.2020 Heracles Heracles 1-2 HT 0-1 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
07.02.2020 Heracles Heracles 2-0 HT 1-0 Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heracles
0-0
AWAY Fortuna Sittard
0.35 xG 0.54
58% Ball Possession 42%
9 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 6
356 Passes 231
84% Pass Accuracy 78%
8 Box Touches 11
13 Crosses 16
1 Yellow Cards 0
POST-MATCH Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heracles and Fortuna Sittard played out a goalless draw. Neither side could find a way through.

Our pre-match lean was Heracles at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 52%.

On the day, Heracles had 58% of the ball to Fortuna Sittard's 42%, shots finished 9-12, expected goals 0.35 to 0.54.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heracles had the better of it with 4 wins. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Heracles and 1.17 for Fortuna Sittard.

What was the final score of Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Heracles 0-0 Fortuna Sittard in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 19/05/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heracles vs Fortuna Sittard?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heracles win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split Heracles 42%, draw 26%, Fortuna Sittard 32%. The final score 0-0 went against our main leads this time — single matches are noisy by nature; our accuracy is measured across thousands of predictions, not one result.

✗ Match Result (Heracles) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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