Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-2 2nd Score 2-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
46%
1.45
Draw
31%
4.19
Away
23%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
44%
2.29
Over 2.5
56%
1.56
Both Teams to Score
Yes
56%
1.73
No
44%
1.99
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
21%
4.75
2-3 Goals
40%
1.92
4-5 Goals
26%
2.83
6+ Goals
13%
7.78
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1.75
1/2
7%
34.5
1/X
7%
17.05
X/1
14%
3.76
X/2
9%
13.4
X/X
16%
6.69
2/1
7%
20.9
2/2
7%
9.9
2/X
8%
17.6
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
46%
Home Win
64%
-17.8pp
31%
Draw
20%
+10.6pp
23%
Away Win
16%
+7.2pp
44%
Under 2.5
40%
+4.5pp
56%
Over 2.5
60%
-4.5pp
56%
BTTS Yes
54%
+2.1pp
44%
BTTS No
46%
-2.1pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 19%
-4% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -7% / -4%
1.83/1.14 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/2.01
-13% / -15% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -17% / +4%
58% Ball Possession 42%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
8 Corners 5
413 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 256 · 73%
25.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 15.8
20.9 Crosses 15.3
1.4 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Heerenveen
2W-1D-3L
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.23 xG 1.39
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 12
5 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 5
363 Passes 336
79% Pass Accuracy 77%
24 Box Touches 22
18 Crosses 15
1 Yellow Cards 2
13.01.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.01.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
02.10.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
31.07.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HAZ
24.04.2021 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-2 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
26.02.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 4-1 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME Heerenveen
2-0
AWAY PEC Zwolle
1.66 xG 0.68
47% Ball Possession 53%
15 Total Shots 11
6 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 6
322 Passes 364
80% Pass Accuracy 81%
16 Box Touches 22
14 Crosses 20
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Heerenveen saw off PEC Zwolle 2-0. Half-time: 1-0.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had Heerenveen as the likeliest winner at 46%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead. The goals read — over 2.5 goals (56%), both teams to score (56%) — went the other way, though.

On the day, Heerenveen had 47% of the ball to PEC Zwolle's 53%, shots finished 15-11, expected goals 1.66 to 0.68.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, PEC Zwolle led the recent series with 3 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.00 goals for Heerenveen and 1.50 for PEC Zwolle.

What was the final score of Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Heerenveen 2-0 PEC Zwolle in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Heerenveen vs PEC Zwolle?

Before kick-off our model rated a Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 46%, with the full match-result split Heerenveen 46%, draw 31%, PEC Zwolle 23%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Heerenveen) — while Over 2.5, BTTS Yes went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✗ Over 2.5 ✗ BTTS Yes
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