PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Feyenoord — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 3 Mar 2024

📅03/03/2024 · 🕒16:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 2-1 2nd Score 2-2
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
42%
1.86
Draw
27%
3.45
Away
31%
3.63
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
45%
2.07
Over 2.5
55%
1.68
Both Teams to Score
Yes
57%
1.63
No
43%
2.13
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
22%
3.95
2-3 Goals
40%
1.84
4-5 Goals
24%
3.13
6+ Goals
14%
10.35
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
2.44
1/2
8%
34.5
1/X
5%
13.1
X/1
16%
4.44
X/2
13%
8.26
X/X
15%
5.12
2/1 EV+ ✗
10%
22.7
2/2
11%
5.84
2/X
6%
13.6
Value flag · 2/1 at 22.7 — our 10% vs market 2.1%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
42%
Home Win
50%
-7.6pp
27%
Draw
26%
+0.9pp
31%
Away Win
24%
+6.8pp
45%
Under 2.5
44%
+1.1pp
55%
Over 2.5
56%
-1.1pp
57%
BTTS Yes
57%
-0.2pp
43%
BTTS No
43%
+0.2pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PSV Eindhoven EU Bookmakers 54%
Head to Head
AWAY Feyenoord EU Bookmakers 28%
-1% / -6% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +10% / +11%
1.95/1.08 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.39/1.53
+19% / -26% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +52% / -8%
55% Ball Possession 45%
15 Total Shots 10
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 4
391 · 80% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 307 · 75%
31.4 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 20.6
18.9 Crosses 15.2
1.7 Yellow Cards 2.3
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PSV Eindhoven
3W-2D-1L
AWAY Feyenoord
1.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.50
1.43 xG 1.79
48% Ball Possession 52%
15 Total Shots 17
6 Shots on Target 6
6 Corners 6
338 Passes 375
78% Pass Accuracy 81%
23 Box Touches 29
17 Crosses 20
4 Yellow Cards 2
24.01.2024 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-0 HT 1-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOK
03.12.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 1-2 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
04.08.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 0-1 HT 0-0 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HSK
05.02.2023 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 0-1 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
18.09.2022 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven 4-3 HT 2-2 Feyenoord Feyenoord HOL
08.05.2022 Feyenoord Feyenoord 2-2 HT 0-2 PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven HOL
RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PSV Eindhoven
2-2
AWAY Feyenoord
2.40 xG 2.53
64% Ball Possession 36%
17 Total Shots 9
8 Shots on Target 6
9 Corners 2
387 Passes 180
85% Pass Accuracy 71%
31 Box Touches 20
29 Crosses 9
4 Yellow Cards 3
POST-MATCH PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PSV Eindhoven and Feyenoord shared the points in a 2-2 draw. Half-time: 1-1.

Our pre-match lean was PSV Eindhoven at 42%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — over 2.5 goals (55%), both teams to score (57%) came in.

On the day, PSV Eindhoven had 64% of the ball to Feyenoord's 36%, shots finished 17-9, expected goals 2.40 to 2.53.

Coming into the game, across their last 6 meetings in our records, PSV Eindhoven had the better of it with 3 wins, 2 drawn. Those games averaged 1.83 goals for PSV Eindhoven and 1.50 for Feyenoord.

What was the final score of PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

PSV Eindhoven 2-2 Feyenoord in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 03/03/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PSV Eindhoven vs Feyenoord?

Before kick-off our model rated a PSV Eindhoven win the most likely single outcome at about 42%, with the full match-result split PSV Eindhoven 42%, draw 27%, Feyenoord 31%. The final score 2-2 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Over 2.5, BTTS Yes — while Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (PSV Eindhoven) ✓ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS Yes
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