PEC Zwolle 2-1 Heerenveen — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Netherlands - Eredivisie, 28 Nov 2025

PEC Zwolle
2-1 HT 2-1
Heerenveen
📅28/11/2025 · 🕒22:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-1 ✗ 2nd Score 1-2 ✗
Netherlands - Eredivisie – 2025/2026

PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen Prediction — Model Probabilities

MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
3.32
Draw
23%
3.64
Away
52%
1.83
Under/Over 2.5
Under
50%
2.33
Over
50%
1.54
Both Teams to Score
Yes Pick
53%
1.5
No
47%
2.4
Total Goals
0-1
26%
4.82
2-3
43%
1.94
4-5
21%
2.75
6+
10%
7.2
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
10%
5.71
1/2 ✗
8%
20.75
1/X
8%
13.8
X/1
9%
8.48
X/2
16%
4.88
X/X
11%
5.92
2/1
5%
33.0
2/2
28%
2.43
2/X
5%
12.85
Value flag · 1/2 at 20.75 — our 8% vs market 2.7%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
◎
Our Pick
BTTS Yes — 53% ✓
Fair price · no betting value
The bookmaker priced every market fairly — no dependable value at these odds, so skipping is the disciplined play.
Our Pick is our best estimate of the outcome; a value flag is a separate, rarer judgement about the price.
STRENGTH BTTS Yes — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
26%
-1.3pp
23%
Draw
24%
-0.3pp
52%
Away Win
50%
+1.6pp
50%
Under 2.5
39%
+11.0pp
50%
Over 2.5
61%
-11.0pp
53%
BTTS Yes
62%
-9.4pp
47%
BTTS No
38%
+9.4pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.

PEC Zwolle v Heerenveen — Team-Based Signals

PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME PEC Zwolle EU Bookmakers 30%
Head to Head
AWAY Heerenveen EU Bookmakers 55%
+8% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -4% / -1%
1.21/1.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 1.13/1.16
-2% / +17% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -10% / -20%
44% Ball Possession 56%
10 Total Shots 13
3 Shots on Target 6
4 Corners 6
279 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 360 · 78%
18.9 Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area 21.4
14.5 Crosses 15.6
1.5 Yellow Cards 1.6

PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen Head-to-Head — Last 6 Meetings

H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME PEC Zwolle
1W-3D-2L
AWAY Heerenveen
0.83 Avg Goals (FT) 1.17
1.07 xG 1.53
49% Ball Possession 51%
11 Total Shots 14
4 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
334 Passes 338
78% Pass Accuracy 78%
22 Box Touches 25
16 Crosses 17
2 Yellow Cards 2
The Meetings
16.02.2025 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 1-1 HT 1-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
06.10.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 1-1 HT 1-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
03.03.2024 Heerenveen Heerenveen 2-0 HT 1-0 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
13.01.2024 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 2-2 HT 0-1 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL
22.01.2022 Heerenveen Heerenveen 0-1 HT 0-1 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle HOL
02.10.2021 PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle 0-1 HT 0-0 Heerenveen Heerenveen HOL

PEC Zwolle 2-1 Heerenveen — Actual Match Statistics

RESULT Match Result
Real recorded figures from this match
HOME PEC Zwolle
2-1
AWAY Heerenveen
1.61 xG 1.92
44% Ball Possession 56%
11 Total Shots 19
4 Shots on Target 7
3 Corners 9
262 Passes 349
75% Pass Accuracy 80%
18 Box Touches 39
10 Crosses 25
3 Yellow Cards 2
POST-MATCH PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

PEC Zwolle nicked a narrow win over Heerenveen 2-1.

Our pre-match lean was Heerenveen at 52%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 50% and both teams to score was close to even at 53%.

On the day, PEC Zwolle had 44% of the ball to Heerenveen's 56%, shots finished 11-19, expected goals 1.61 to 1.92.

For context: across their last 6 meetings in our records, Heerenveen led the recent series with 2 wins, 3 drawn. Those games averaged 0.83 goals for PEC Zwolle and 1.17 for Heerenveen.

What was the final score of PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

PEC Zwolle 2-1 Heerenveen in the Netherlands - Eredivisie on 28/11/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for PEC Zwolle vs Heerenveen?

Before kick-off our model rated an Heerenveen win the most likely single outcome at about 52%, with the full match-result split PEC Zwolle 25%, draw 23%, Heerenveen 52%. The final score 2-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on BTTS Yes — while Match Result (Heerenveen) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Heerenveen) ✓ BTTS Yes
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