Fard Alborz 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
25%
2.53
Draw
35%
2.61
Away
40%
3.15
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
1.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
44%
2.95
No
56%
1.35
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
42%
1.47
2-3 Goals
39%
2.05
4-5 Goals
13%
11.4
6+ Goals
6%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
14%
1/2
12%
1/X
6%
X/1
6%
X/2
16%
X/X
13%
2/1
6%
2/2
11%
2/X
16%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
25%
Home Win
36%
-11.0pp
35%
Draw
35%
+0.2pp
39%
Away Win
29%
+10.7pp
44%
BTTS Yes
30%
+13.9pp
56%
BTTS No
70%
-13.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fard Alborz EU Bookmakers 40%
Head to Head
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr EU Bookmakers 32%
+1% / +1% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -9% / -8%
0.56/0.42 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.48/0.91
-42% / +71% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -40% / +1%
50% Ball Possession 50%
12 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
4 Corners 5
288 · 75% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 248 · 73%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fard Alborz
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Ario Eslamshahr
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
23.09.2025 Ario Eslamshahr Ario Eslamshahr 0-0 HT 0-0 Fard Alborz IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fard Alborz edged past Ario Eslamshahr 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (25% / 35% / 39%) promised a tight game; Fard Alborz found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (56%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Fard Alborz 1-0 Ario Eslamshahr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fard Alborz vs Ario Eslamshahr?

Before kick-off our model rated an Ario Eslamshahr win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Fard Alborz 25%, draw 35%, Ario Eslamshahr 39%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Ario Eslamshahr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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