Navad Urmia FC 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 15 Feb 2026

📅15/02/2026 · 🕒14:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-1 2nd Score 0-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
29%
3.46
Draw
32%
2.88
Away
39%
2.11
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
68%
1.38
Over 2.5
32%
2.89
Both Teams to Score
Yes
38%
2.4
No
62%
1.5
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
46%
1.87
2-3 Goals
34%
1.81
4-5 Goals
15%
6.59
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
11%
1/2
5%
1/X
9%
X/1
11%
X/2
23%
X/X
18%
2/1
7%
2/2
12%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
29%
Home Win
25%
+3.2pp
32%
Draw
31%
+0.9pp
39%
Away Win
43%
-3.9pp
68%
Under 2.5
69%
-0.8pp
32%
Over 2.5
31%
+0.8pp
38%
BTTS Yes
38%
+0.8pp
62%
BTTS No
62%
-0.8pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 29%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 48%
+18% / +18% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -13%
0.68/0.35 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.58/0.34
-13% / +128% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -43% / +89%
52% Ball Possession 48%
8 Total Shots 12
3 Shots on Target 5
4 Corners 5
285 · 77% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 281 · 75%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Navad Urmia FC
0W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
1.00 Avg Goals (FT) 1.00
24.09.2025 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Navad Urmia FC Navad Urmia FC IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Navad Urmia FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC edged past Navad Urmia FC 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match split (29% / 32% / 39%) promised a tight game; Mes Shahr-e Babak FC found the edge the numbers couldn't. We had also flagged under 2.5 goals (68%), no to both teams scoring (62%), and both reads landed as well.

What was the final score of Navad Urmia FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Navad Urmia FC 0-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 15/02/2026. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Navad Urmia FC vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC?

Before kick-off our model rated an Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 39%, with the full match-result split Navad Urmia FC 29%, draw 32%, Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 39%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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