Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 Navad Urmia FC — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒16:45 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
30%
2.05
Draw
41%
2.88
Away
29%
3.71
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
79%
1.33
Over 2.5
21%
3.14
Both Teams to Score
Yes
31%
2.67
No
69%
1.41
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
54%
1.69
2-3 Goals
30%
1.87
4-5 Goals
12%
7.83
6+ Goals
4%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
8%
1/2
4%
1/X
7%
X/1
18%
X/2
9%
X/X
25%
2/1
4%
2/2
16%
2/X
9%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
30%
Home Win
45%
-15.0pp
41%
Draw
31%
+9.8pp
29%
Away Win
24%
+5.2pp
79%
Under 2.5
72%
+7.0pp
21%
Over 2.5
28%
-7.0pp
31%
BTTS Yes
33%
-2.5pp
69%
BTTS No
67%
+2.5pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 49%
Head to Head
AWAY Navad Urmia FC EU Bookmakers 27%
+4% / +4% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -44% / -44%
1.15/0.68 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.00/1.00
+5% / -13% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -100% / -1%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 9
3 Shots on Target 3
5 Corners 4
255 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 225 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Navad Urmia FC
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and Navad Urmia FC shared the points in a 1-1 draw. Half-time: 0-0.

As we said in the preview, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (79%) landed while no to both teams scoring (69%) missed.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Navad Urmia FC?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 Navad Urmia FC in the Iran - Azadegan League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Navad Urmia FC?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 30%, draw 41%, Navad Urmia FC 29%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
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