Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 24 Sep 2025

📅24/09/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
34%
2.19
Draw
47%
2.88
Away
19%
3.25
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
66%
1.48
Over 2.5
34%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
40%
2.09
No
60%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
43%
2.11
2-3 Goals
35%
1.74
4-5 Goals
17%
5.25
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
15%
1/2
4%
1/X
15%
X/1
12%
X/2
7%
X/X
25%
2/1
7%
2/2
8%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
34%
Home Win
42%
-7.8pp
47%
Draw
31%
+15.7pp
19%
Away Win
27%
-8.0pp
66%
Under 2.5
64%
+2.5pp
34%
Over 2.5
36%
-2.5pp
40%
BTTS Yes
44%
-4.3pp
60%
BTTS No
56%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 31%
+0% / +0% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -13% / -12%
1.01/0.41 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.87/1.47
-5% / +70% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) +19% / -36%
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 5
292 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 319 · 78%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
1W-1D-1L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
1.67 Avg Goals (FT) 0.67
11.03.2025 Naft Gachsaran 1-1 HT 1-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
23.10.2024 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
22.11.2023 Naft Gachsaran 4-0 HT 3-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pars Jam Bushehr edged past Naft Gachsaran 1-0 away from home. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 47%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (66%), no to both teams scoring (60%) came in.

Coming into the game, across their last 3 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 1.67 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.67 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Naft Gachsaran 0-1 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 24/09/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 47%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 34%, draw 47%, Pars Jam Bushehr 19%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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