Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 Naft Gachsaran — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒17:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 0-1
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
44%
2.18
Draw
22%
3.18
Away
34%
3.08
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
53%
1.44
Over 2.5
47%
2.63
Both Teams to Score
Yes
46%
No
54%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
33%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
21%
6+ Goals
7%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
18%
1/2
8%
1/X
5%
X/1
18%
X/2
11%
X/X
10%
2/1
8%
2/2
15%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
44%
Home Win
42%
+1.2pp
22%
Draw
28%
-5.9pp
34%
Away Win
29%
+4.8pp
53%
Under 2.5
66%
-12.7pp
47%
Over 2.5
34%
+12.7pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 46%
Head to Head
AWAY Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 32%
-6% / -5% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -14% / -14%
1.09/1.15 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.69/0.89
-3% / -40% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -13% / +9%
53% Ball Possession 47%
12 Total Shots 8
5 Shots on Target 4
5 Corners 4
352 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 282 · 72%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Pars Jam Bushehr
0W-0D-1L
AWAY Naft Gachsaran
0.00 Avg Goals (FT) 4.00
22.11.2023 Naft Gachsaran 4-0 HT 3-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Pars Jam Bushehr nicked a narrow win over Naft Gachsaran 1-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

Just as the model leaned, our model had Pars Jam Bushehr as the likeliest winner at 44%, and the 1-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 47% and both teams to score was close to even at 46%.

What was the final score of Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 Naft Gachsaran in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Pars Jam Bushehr vs Naft Gachsaran?

Before kick-off our model rated a Pars Jam Bushehr win the most likely single outcome at about 44%, with the full match-result split Pars Jam Bushehr 44%, draw 22%, Naft Gachsaran 34%. The final score 1-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr), Under 2.5, BTTS No — a clean sweep of the main markets.

✓ Match Result (Pars Jam Bushehr) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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