Shahrdari Noshahr FC 0-1 Sanat Naft — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
35%
2.46
Draw
41%
3.04
Away
24%
2.72
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
74%
1.48
Over 2.5
26%
2.51
Both Teams to Score
Yes
34%
2.09
No
66%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✓
47%
2.2
2-3 Goals
36%
1.8
4-5 Goals
12%
5.64
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.2 — our 47% vs market 38.6%. Landed.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
12%
1/2
11%
1/X
7%
X/1
17%
X/2
8%
X/X
27%
2/1
5%
2/2
6%
2/X
7%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Under 2.5 ★★ Draw ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
35%
Home Win
37%
-2.4pp
41%
Draw
30%
+11.3pp
24%
Away Win
33%
-9.0pp
74%
Under 2.5
64%
+10.4pp
26%
Over 2.5
36%
-10.4pp
34%
BTTS Yes
44%
-9.3pp
66%
BTTS No
56%
+9.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Shahrdari Noshahr FC EU Bookmakers 41%
Head to Head
AWAY Sanat Naft EU Bookmakers 37%
-8% / -8% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +0% / +0%
–/– Expected GoalsScored / Conceded –/–
-100% / Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) /
48% Ball Possession 52%
10 Total Shots 11
4 Shots on Target 3
4 Corners 5
283 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 310 · 79%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
POST-MATCH Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Sanat Naft
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Sanat Naft nicked a narrow win over Shahrdari Noshahr FC 1-0 away from home.

Our pre-match lean was the draw at 41%, but a lead that slim is closer to a coin-flip than a call — and it fell the other way. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (74%), no to both teams scoring (66%) came in.

What was the final score of Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Sanat Naft?

Shahrdari Noshahr FC 0-1 Sanat Naft in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Shahrdari Noshahr FC vs Sanat Naft?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Shahrdari Noshahr FC 35%, draw 41%, Sanat Naft 24%. The final score 0-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Draw) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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