Fajr Sepasi 0-0 Mes Kerman — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:15 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
60%
1.75
Draw
21%
3.28
Away
19%
4.75
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
62%
Over 2.5
38%
Both Teams to Score
Yes
36%
No
64%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
34%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
5%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
29%
1/2
5%
1/X
5%
X/1
26%
X/2
6%
X/X
11%
2/1
5%
2/2
8%
2/X
5%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Home Win ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
60%
Home Win
54%
+6.5pp
21%
Draw
28%
-7.1pp
19%
Away Win
18%
+0.6pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Fajr Sepasi EU Bookmakers 57%
Head to Head
AWAY Mes Kerman EU Bookmakers 21%
+17% / +24% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations +5% / +4%
2.01/0.43 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.60/1.07
+46% / +19% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -14% / +12%
53% Ball Possession 47%
14 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 3
6 Corners 2
294 · 78% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 334 · 80%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Fajr Sepasi
1W-1D-0L
AWAY Mes Kerman
0.50 Avg Goals (FT) 0.00
05.03.2024 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman IRANAZ
02.10.2023 Mes Kerman Mes Kerman 0-1 HT 0-0 Fajr Sepasi Fajr Sepasi IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Kerman
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Fajr Sepasi and Mes Kerman fought out a 0-0 stalemate. Neither side could find a way through.

By our pre-match numbers this was an upset: we had Fajr Sepasi at 60% and the game still went the other way. Single results are noisy — probabilities earn their keep across thousands of matches, not one. The goals side of the card held up too — under 2.5 goals (62%), no to both teams scoring (64%) came in.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, Fajr Sepasi had the better of it with 1 wins, 1 drawn. Those games averaged 0.50 goals for Fajr Sepasi and 0.00 for Mes Kerman.

What was the final score of Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Kerman?

Fajr Sepasi 0-0 Mes Kerman in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Fajr Sepasi vs Mes Kerman?

Before kick-off our model rated a Fajr Sepasi win the most likely single outcome at about 60%, with the full match-result split Fajr Sepasi 60%, draw 21%, Mes Kerman 19%. The final score 0-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Under 2.5, BTTS No — while Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) went the other way.

✗ Match Result (Fajr Sepasi) ✓ Under 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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