Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-0 Shahrdari Astara — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 23 Oct 2024

📅23/10/2024 · 🕒16:00 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 1-0 2nd Score 2-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
49%
1.45
Draw
23%
4.19
Away
28%
5.27
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
49%
1.74
Over 2.5
51%
2.0
Both Teams to Score
Yes
48%
No
52%
Total Goals
0-1 Goal
29%
2-3 Goals
39%
4-5 Goals
22%
6+ Goals
10%
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
25%
1/2
8%
1/X
7%
X/1
12%
X/2
6%
X/X
13%
2/1
12%
2/2
14%
2/X
3%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
49%
Home Win
64%
-14.9pp
23%
Draw
20%
+2.4pp
28%
Away Win
16%
+12.5pp
49%
Under 2.5
54%
-4.3pp
51%
Over 2.5
46%
+4.3pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC EU Bookmakers 69%
Head to Head
AWAY Shahrdari Astara EU Bookmakers 19%
+7% / +7% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -12% / -21%
1.07/0.26 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.33/1.39
-30% / +105% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -47% / -6%
57% Ball Possession 43%
15 Total Shots 9
5 Shots on Target 4
6 Corners 3
370 · 81% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 296 · 77%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Mes Shahr-e Babak FC
0W-5D-0L
AWAY Shahrdari Astara
0.40 Avg Goals (FT) 0.40
05.12.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
18.01.2023 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 0-0 HT 0-0 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
27.08.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 0-0 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
02.06.2022 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara 1-1 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC IRANAZ
28.01.2022 Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 1-1 HT 0-0 Shahrdari Astara Shahrdari Astara IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahrdari Astara
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC saw off Shahrdari Astara 2-0. The game was level at 0-0 at the break, so the decisive goals came after it.

As we highlighted before kick-off, our model had Mes Shahr-e Babak FC as the likeliest winner at 49%, and the 2-0 landed on that lead.

Over 2.5 goals sat near a coin-flip at 51% and both teams to score was close to even at 48%.

Coming into the game, across their last 5 meetings in our records, honours were even at 0 apiece, 5 drawn. Those games averaged 0.40 goals for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC and 0.40 for Shahrdari Astara.

What was the final score of Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahrdari Astara?

Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 2-0 Shahrdari Astara in the Iran - Azadegan League on 23/10/2024. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Mes Shahr-e Babak FC vs Shahrdari Astara?

Before kick-off our model rated a Mes Shahr-e Babak FC win the most likely single outcome at about 49%, with the full match-result split Mes Shahr-e Babak FC 49%, draw 23%, Shahrdari Astara 28%. The final score 2-0 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC), BTTS No — while Over 2.5 went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Mes Shahr-e Babak FC) ✗ Over 2.5 ✓ BTTS No
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