Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Pars Jam Bushehr — Result, Statistics & Match Review — Iran - Azadegan League, 11 Mar 2025

📅11/03/2025 · 🕒18:30 Istanbul · GMT+3
Top 2 Score Predictions
1st Score 0-0 2nd Score 1-0
MODEL iddaakolik · Our Predictions
Probability per market · Global + League + Team blend
⏱ Odds and predictions are pre-match — updates freeze from ~20 minutes before kick-off.
Match Result
Home
31%
2.67
Draw
41%
2.83
Away
28%
2.69
Under/Over 2.5
Under 2.5
80%
1.45
Over 2.5
20%
2.59
Both Teams to Score
Yes
35%
2.09
No
65%
1.66
Total Goals
0-1 Goal EV+ ✗
43%
2.05
2-3 Goals
43%
1.75
4-5 Goals
9%
5.51
6+ Goals
5%
34.5
Value flag · 0-1 Goal at 2.05 — our 43% vs market 39.9%. Did not land — edges play out over many matches, not one.
Half Time / Full Time
1/1
16%
1/2
6%
1/X
4%
X/1
12%
X/2
12%
X/X
33%
2/1
4%
2/2
9%
2/X
4%
PRO iddaakolik · Analysis Engine
Model vs Market · Probabilities · Discipline
💡 For the risk lovers: Draw ★★ Under 2.5 ★★ — pattern-based signals at fair odds; informational, not a sized bet.
Model vs Market — where we differ
iddaakolik Market EU Bookmakers
31%
Home Win
34%
-2.8pp
41%
Draw
32%
+9.1pp
28%
Away Win
34%
-6.3pp
80%
Under 2.5
65%
+14.4pp
20%
Over 2.5
35%
-14.4pp
35%
BTTS Yes
44%
-8.9pp
65%
BTTS No
56%
+8.9pp
gold — our model green — our served pick grey — EU market (margin removed: each group sums to 100%)
Edge (pp): green = we see more probability than the market · gold = essentially even (±0.5pp) · red = we see less. The Decision above outranks any single row: the engine backs well-supported edges, not merely big ones.
PREVIEW Match Preview Engine
iddaakolik Team Elo · Form · Goals signals
HOME Naft Gachsaran EU Bookmakers 37%
Head to Head
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr EU Bookmakers 37%
-16% / -16% Team Performance vs MarketAll History / Recent Form · above/below bookmaker expectations -15% / -15%
0.91/0.72 Expected GoalsScored / Conceded 0.67/0.97
-9% / +5% Attack / Defense(vs League Avg.) -25% / -16%
49% Ball Possession 51%
10 Total Shots 10
4 Shots on Target 3
3 Corners 5
289 · 74% PassesSuccessful · Accuracy 321 · 76%
Box TouchesOpposition Penalty Area
Crosses
Yellow Cards
H2H Past Meetings
Real recorded figures, averaged over these meetings
HOME Naft Gachsaran
1W-0D-1L
AWAY Pars Jam Bushehr
2.00 Avg Goals (FT) 0.50
23.10.2024 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr 1-0 HT 0-0 Naft Gachsaran IRANAZ
22.11.2023 Naft Gachsaran 4-0 HT 3-0 Pars Jam Bushehr Pars Jam Bushehr IRANAZ
POST-MATCH Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr
iddaakolik Post-Match Analysis — what we said & what happened

Naft Gachsaran and Pars Jam Bushehr couldn't be separated, finishing 1-1. It was 1-0 at half-time, meaning the result turned around in the second half.

As our pre-match numbers suggested, our model had the draw as the likeliest outcome at 41%, and the draw held. On goals, under 2.5 goals (80%) landed while no to both teams scoring (65%) missed.

For context: across their last 2 meetings in our records, honours were even at 1 apiece. Those games averaged 2.00 goals for Naft Gachsaran and 0.50 for Pars Jam Bushehr.

What was the final score of Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Naft Gachsaran 1-1 Pars Jam Bushehr in the Iran - Azadegan League on 11/03/2025. The analysis above shows what our model predicted before kick-off next to what actually happened.

What did the model predict for Naft Gachsaran vs Pars Jam Bushehr?

Before kick-off our model rated a draw the most likely single outcome at about 41%, with the full match-result split Naft Gachsaran 31%, draw 41%, Pars Jam Bushehr 28%. The final score 1-1 confirmed our model's pre-match leads on Match Result (Draw), Under 2.5 — while BTTS No went the other way.

✓ Match Result (Draw) ✓ Under 2.5 ✗ BTTS No
Want to know how this prediction was produced? Read how we price a match →
Want to test this kind of bet across 26 seasons yourself? Open Match Studio →
IRANAZ More Iran - Azadegan League
11 Mar 2025
18:00 Mes Kerman vs Fajr Sepasi Analysis →
18:00 Naft Bandar Abbas vs Mes Soongoun Analysis →
18:30 Saipa vs Besat Kermanshah Analysis →
18:30 Sanat Naft vs Shahrdari Noshahr FC Analysis →
18:30 Paykan Qazvin vs Naft Masjed Soleyman Analysis →
18:30 Shahrdari Astara vs Mes Shahr-e Babak FC Analysis →